Who will be the winner of the 20 10 World Cup? Argentina?

1, only a few of them won the championship in the past: Brazil, Argentina, Italy, Germany, France, England, Spain, Portugal, the Netherlands and the host country. Therefore, judging from the current strength, the host can basically be ruled out.

2. Have reasonable skills and tactics and rich competition experience: this is really hard to say. After all, Dunga, Ma Lao, Capello and Queiroz are all novices of the national team, so this can be put down for the time being.

3. Super key players: Kaka, Messi, Harvey, Xiaobai, Rooney, Henry and Robben, so I personally think Portugal can be ruled out.

Second, the remote factors:

1, when the weather is right, it will be winter in South Africa, so this is undoubtedly more beneficial to Argentina and Brazil. After all, Europeans rarely make a difference in the World Cup held in the southern hemisphere. At the same time, comparing the temperate climate of Argentina with the tropical rain forest climate of Brazil, there is no doubt that Argentina is closer to the Mediterranean climate of South Africa, and there is no doubt that Argentina takes up even more time!

2. Location: South Africa is a plateau. I think the plateau may have no concept to many people, but if you have traveled, you will know the power of the plateau. On the other hand, Europe is mostly plain, so the geographical advantage of this World Cup is very unfavorable to Europeans. Second, Brazil and Argentina are mostly plateaus, and there is no doubt that Argentina and Brazil occupy geographical factors.

3. People and Harmony: Brazil's discharge of Ronaldinho this time may be due to the locker room, but no one can deny that Brazil lacks the taste of the past stars. Without Mr. Ji, it may not be a good thing for Brazil. Argentina, many people are certainly complaining about Diego Maradona, but don't forget Ma Lao's World Cup experience. Argentina is now better than Ma Zhuang. There are too many civilian players in Germany, Italy and Brazil. Spain's substitute strength is poor. Once Villa, Torres and Xiaobai are injured, it is estimated that Spain will have a big problem.

Third, history and the so-called curse.

1, the curse of heat death is well known, so don't let anyone say that China can't win the World Cup if it isn't a hot spot like Jizai. I said hot spot, not hot spot. Therefore, Brazil, Spain and England may not have the last laugh.

2, the Confederations Cup curse, Brazil won the Confederations Cup last year, so there is likely to be a tragedy in Brazil this year. Don't say spells are for breaking. When we don't know when the spell will be broken, please believe it for the time being. You can look at Argentina in 1993, Brazil in 1997, France in 0 1, and Brazil in 2005.

3. Including Pele, Zico, Kempes, Stifano, Ma Lao, romario and Rhoda, the 70-year-old America's Cup curse has not been broken, so Brazil is likely to be tragic. Moreover, 1993 Argentina and Brazil are under the double curse of America's Cup and Confederations Cup, so Brazil is likely to be a tragedy at present.

4, stay away from the curse of European inaction outside Europe, so I don't like Europeans this time, so the European team above should not have the last laugh. At the same time, with the strength of South Africa, I dare not say that this host will never win the championship.

This is the rule that an American team will follow another European team, so this American team has great possibility.

6. The curse of the World Footballer of the Year, many people say Messi, so Argentina wants tragedy. In fact, this coincides with many of the above curses. If you look at Baggio in 1993, Ronaldinho in 1997, Figo in1and Ronaldinho in 2005, you will find that this does not exist at all.

7. Schedule: If Brazil is the first in the group and France is the first, then Brazil is likely to meet France, and everyone should know the answer when Brazil meets France. If Spain is the first team and Italy is the first team, then they will meet. I don't think Spain can beat Italy in the World Cup. If England is first in the group, Brazil will be met even if it doesn't meet France. The result can be imagined. Germany is the first team and Argentina is the first team. Can Germany eliminate Argentina this time? Look at 1986 and 1990, and then contact 2006, so Germany and Argentina will be eliminated.