Wheat prices "took off", corn "turned down", pig prices fluctuated weakly, and oil prices changed face. What happened?

The introduction of 10 is coming to an end. At 24: 00, the oil price increased by about 0. 14~0. 17 yuan/L. Domestic No.92 gasoline generally rose to about 8.3 1 yuan/L. However, with the arrival of a new round of oil price adjustment cycle, the oil price suddenly rose! In the domestic agricultural product market, the current wheat price "takes off", the price keeps rising, the corn price "turns around", and the market continues the fundamentals of falling volume.

However, in the pig market, the strong cycle of pig price has ended, and the market shows a trend of weak fluctuation!

Then, what changes have taken place in the domestic prices of pigs, wheat, corn and refined oil? Let's analyze it in detail today!

Oil price market:

This round of oil price adjustment has entered a new cycle. 1October 26th 10, the oil price adjustment entered the second working day. According to official news, the change rate of a package of crude oil remained at -0.5%, and the oil price suddenly rose. This round of oil price showed a weak trend! According to the latest news, on the 25th, the international crude oil price rose in a narrow range, among which the price of American light crude oil rose by 0.74 USD to 85.32 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil rose 0.26 USD to 93.52 USD/barrel!

According to institutional analysis, in the short term, the reduction of production in oil-producing countries and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have intensified the pressure on energy supply, which has certain support for staged oil prices! However, due to the risk of the appreciation of the US dollar and the international economic downturn, the market's concern about the decline in crude oil demand has limited the rise in oil prices! In the long-short market game, this round of oil prices may be dominated by narrow fluctuations. A new round of oil price adjustment window appears at1October 7 165438+24: 00. It is expected that the oil price will drop slightly or run aground!

Pig market:

10 came to an end, and the pig price bid farewell to strength. Previously, due to the mass slaughter at the market breeding end to maximize profits, there was industry speculation at the market breeding end. The pig source of large pig enterprises continued to shift to secondary fattening, and it was difficult for slaughterhouses to successfully collect pigs, and the pig price unexpectedly rose!

However, as the excessive rise in pig prices caused the market to worry about stabilizing prices and supply, the National Development and Reform Commission intervened strongly, focusing on the excessive rise in pig prices and taking various measures to continuously curb the high pig prices. Due to market control factors, the phenomenon of secondary fattening at the breeding end has weakened, and the livestock source has stopped raising commercial pigs for secondary fattening. The panic in retail pig farms has increased sharply, and the fluctuation of domestic pig prices is weak. Policy control has achieved initial results!

According to the analysis of pig price data, on June 26th 10, the domestic average pig price dropped to 13.6 1 yuan/kg, and the pig price dropped by 0.22 yuan, showing a continuous downward trend. The center of gravity of pig prices in the north and south areas moved down, and the pig prices in most areas fell below 14 yuan/kg steadily, which obviously cooled down the unexpected increase in pig prices.

In the short term, the market is bearish and the official control measures are orderly. It is predicted that the pig price will still fluctuate weakly. However, due to the fundamentals and superposition of the reduction of pig slaughter in the market during the year, the acceptance of fat pigs in the consumer market has improved, and the bullish sentiment at the breeding end still exists, and there is resistance to selling pigs at low prices. Therefore, the trend of weak fluctuation of pig price may continue in the short term. However, due to parts of the north, the market is quite expensive.

Grain market:

In the domestic grain market, the current wheat price "takes off" and the price continues to strengthen!

According to institutional analysis, the factors supporting the current strength of wheat prices!

On the one hand, due to the gradual decrease of wheat surplus at the grass-roots level, grass-roots farmers are listed at the cost of farming and are unwilling to sell wheat at high prices, but traders are not enthusiastic about selling grain at low prices, and spot wheat is less circulated in the market!

On the other hand, the problem of masks in many places in the north has continued recently, regional control measures have been upgraded, and logistics and transportation have become more difficult. Some milling enterprises have less grain sources and their inventories remain at a low level. The phenomenon of price increase stimulus is more obvious!

Third, with the improvement of flour demand in the downstream market, the weather turned cold, residents' enthusiasm for purchasing flour rebounded, and the machine operating rate of flour milling enterprises continued to increase, while the increase in bran price eased the operating pressure of flour milling enterprises, and the confidence of enterprises in raising prices and collecting grain increased, superimposed, and the auction price of domestic temporary storage wheat rose, further aggravating the market bullish sentiment!

Therefore, based on the above analysis, the domestic wheat price "takes off" and the price keeps rising. According to the market quotation, the prices of the mainstream grain enterprises Zaozhuang developed flour, Heze Huarui, Shanxian Feixiang, Cao Xian Yongming, Baixiang Wudeli, Daming Wudeli, Xinxiang Sifeng, Zhiqing flour, Yanjin Keming starch, and Luohe COFCO flour increased by 20 yuan/ton, and in Shandong, Hebei and Henan regions.

In the corn market, at present, the domestic spot corn price has turned down! At present, due to factors such as high corn planting cost, high market moisture, widespread enthusiasm of traders to open positions, low inventory of deep processing enterprises, strong enthusiasm for purchasing on demand, and prominent market wait-and-see mood, domestic spot corn is mainly stable and small, and the quotation of enterprises shows a narrow adjustment in the short term!

At present, the price of corn fluctuates within a narrow range in the northeast market, and most markets have stabilized. Among them, the price of Heilongjiang Yipin fell by 20 yuan, the execution price was 1.305 yuan/kg, the price of Cyclobalanopsis Longfeng fell by 10 yuan, the price of Yihai Kerry in Liaoning rose by 30 yuan/ton, and the price of dry corn in Northeast China hovered at 1.28 ~ 65438+.

In Shandong market, due to the staged heavy volume, the number of vehicles queuing in front of enterprises increased to more than 600, and the quotation of corn processing enterprises fluctuated weakly. The prices of Hengren Industry and Trade Company in Zaozhuang, Shandong Province, Xiangrui Company in Tai 'an and Fukuan Company in Feicheng decreased 10~20 yuan, and the mainstream corn price in Shandong Province 1.395~ 1.52 yuan/kg!

In the short term, the corn market may continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. But in the medium and long term, corn is bullish. Due to the sharp increase in the cost of imported corn, the price of domestic imported corn may be reduced, the cost of corn planting is higher, and the cost of logistics and transportation is rising. In terms of grain consumption, the operating rate of feed enterprises and deep processing enterprises will be greatly improved, and the price of corn will continue to rise further. At the end of the year, the quotation of mainstream deep processing enterprises will generally rise to 1.55.

Wheat prices "took off", corn "turned down", pig prices fluctuated weakly, and oil prices changed face. What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!