The price of watermelon has increased by 30%. How much will the price of watermelon increase next?

From the perspective of market rules, the increase in watermelon prices reflects changes in market supply and demand. Cao Dongbo, a market analyst at Yimuchian, believes that the watermelon entering a supply window is the main reason for the rise in melon prices.

Cao Dongbo: First of all, hot weather continues and consumer demand is strong. Temperatures across the country have generally entered an upward trend, and the hot weather lasted for about 10 days. It was not until rain fell in the north this week that the temperature dropped. The long-lasting high temperature weather has led to strong demand for heat-relieving melons and fruits, especially watermelons, in sales areas. Sales in many markets have increased rapidly, leading to a shortage of watermelons in the market. As a result, merchants have gone to production areas to replenish supplies.

In addition to increased consumption due to hot weather, another reason why watermelon prices have been rising in production areas is that extreme weather has occurred in some areas, which has affected watermelon production. Cao Dongbo said that extreme convective weather and hail disasters occurred in Dali, Shaanxi, Qingzhou, Shandong and other regions, resulting in reduced watermelon production in sheds, exacerbating the recent shortage of watermelons and causing melon prices to rise.

Cao Dongbo: Currently, all major watermelon producing areas have entered the crop replacement stage. Specifically, watermelons in Guangxi production areas have basically been sold out and will not be available in large quantities again until mid-August; watermelons in Shandong, Anhui, Jiangsu and other production areas will not be on the market until early July; open-field mulched watermelons in Henan and Hebei production areas Although a small amount of watermelon has begun to be put on the market, the supply is limited; the two production areas of Liaoning and Hubei are also in the stage of crop replacement. The planting area of ??watermelon in greenhouses is insufficient, and the supply of watermelon is also at a low level.

Last year's slow sales affected watermelon planting

As we all know, after the end of greenhouse watermelon production, shed watermelon will become the main supply source of watermelon during the crop replacement period. Zhuochuang Information Market Analyst Liu Shuai said that because the market for watermelons in small sheds was relatively poor last year, watermelons in Hebei, Henan, Shandong and other places were dragged down by the northward transportation of watermelons from Guangxi, resulting in sluggish sales and unsalable conditions in many places, resulting in melon farmers planting watermelons in sheds this year. Not very motivated.

Liu Shuai: The area under greenhouse watermelon cultivation in major producing areas has generally decreased, and the overall watermelon supply is low. In addition, this year, the cultivation of watermelons in greenhouses in the northern production areas is relatively concentrated, resulting in relatively consistent supply times, shortened supply cycles, and off-market earlier than in previous years.

Don’t just chase high prices when selling melons, just trade with the trend

The reporter learned during the interview that when the supply of watermelons is low and prices are rising, merchants from all over the country are actively crossing production areas. The rush for goods has also aggravated the tight watermelon supply situation to a certain extent, causing watermelon quotations in some producing areas to rise sharply, and even watermelon reservation defaults. To this end, Yimutian market analyst Cao Dongbo also gave his suggestions.

Cao Dongbo: As the supply of watermelons in various producing areas increases, the overall supply imbalance in the producing areas will be effectively alleviated, and watermelon quotations will also return to normal market conditions. It is recommended that melon farmers operate with integrity, trade with the trend, and do not wait for the price to avoid missing the best sales opportunity.

According to the prediction of Zhuochuang Information market analyst Liu Shuai, in the future, due to the low supply of goods from the origin, it will be difficult for prices to fall. In the short term, watermelon prices will remain at a high level.

Liu Shuai: It is recommended that watermelon growers control the pace of shipments while ensuring the quality of watermelons. The market supply is in short supply, so growers in the production area can directly contact the market and sell directly to the market, eliminating the need for intermediate links and potentially making greater profits.