A new wave of corn is coming! Will the follow-up increase? Latest corn price forecast in 65438+February

When we first entered 65438+February, the spot price of corn continued to rise, which doubled the confidence of many farmers. However, the good times did not last long. Now near the middle of 65438+February, corn prices have started a new round of decline, especially in North China and Huanghuai areas, where corn prices have dropped significantly, and the quotations of enterprises have generally dropped 10-30 yuan/ton. Fortunately, the pace of New Year's Day and Spring Festival is getting closer and closer, and the pre-holiday stocking demand of grain enterprises has improved, which is undoubtedly good news for the current weak corn market. So will the follow-up really go up? What's the price of corn now? Let's take a look at the latest corn price forecast for 65438+February.

What's the price of corn now?

Hebei province: dry corn in Zhengding county, Shijiazhuang city, Hebei province is 0.86 yuan/kg; Gaobeidian City, Baoding City, Hebei Province, dried corn 1.35 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1.2 1 yuan/kg in Huailai County, Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province; Dry corn 1.2 yuan/kg in Fengning Manchu Autonomous County, Chengde City, Hebei Province.

Shanxi Province: dried corn 1.4 yuan/kg in Xinghualing District, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province; Dry corn 1.5 yuan/kg in Pingcheng District, Datong City; Yuxian County, Yangquan City, Shanxi Province 1.2 yuan/Jin of dried corn.

Northeast China: 0.7 1 yuan/kg of dry corn in wafangdian city, Dalian, Liaoning; Dry corn 1.2 1 yuan/kg in Ganjingzi District, Dalian, Liaoning; Dry corn 1.29 yuan/kg in Fengman District, Jilin City, Jilin Province; Dry corn 1.44 yuan/kg in Jiutai District, Changchun City, Jilin Province; Dry corn 1.28 yuan/kg in Yi 'an County, Qiqihar City, Heilongjiang Province; Dry corn 1.34 yuan/kg in Tangyuan County, Jiamusi City, Heilongjiang Province.

Anhui province: dry corn 1.05 yuan/kg in linquan county, Fuyang city, Anhui province; Dry corn 1.4 yuan/kg in Qiaoqu, Suzhou City, Anhui Province.

Shaanxi Province: dry corn 1.48 yuan/kg in Jingbian County, Yulin City, Shaanxi Province; Dry corn 1.44 yuan/kg in Yangxian County, Hanzhong City, Shaanxi Province.

Shandong Province: 0.93 yuan/kg of dry corn in Shanghe County, Jinan City, Shandong Province; Shanting, Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, dried corn 1.39 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1.23 yuan/kg in Dongming County, Heze City, Shandong Province; Dry corn in Cao County, Heze City, Shandong Province is 0.99 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1. 15 yuan/kg in Dongying District, Dongying City, Shandong Province; Dry corn 1.08 yuan/kg in Zhanhua District, Binzhou City, Shandong Province.

Henan Province: dry corn 1.42 yuan/kg in Yancheng District, Luohe City, Henan Province; Zhenping county 1.2 yuan/kg of dry corn, Nanyang City, Henan Province; Dry corn 1.35 yuan/kg in Zhecheng County, Shangqiu City, Henan Province; Fugou County, Zhoukou City, Henan Province, dried corn 1.45 yuan/kg, etc.

Remarks: The above corn price comes from the wholesale quotation of Huinong (non-market retail price). Com, for reference only! The price of corn will be affected by many factors, such as origin, variety, supply and demand. The actual quotation in the local market shall prevail.

What is the reason why corn falls as soon as it rises?

At the beginning of February, 65438+continued the upward trend of 165438+ 10, and many corn markets performed strongly, with the highest purchase price approaching 1.65 yuan/kg. However, the price of corn did not rise steadily, and immediately fell. According to the latest data, the purchase price of most processing enterprises in Shandong, the main producing province, has dropped to 3,000 yuan, basically reversing the previous increase, and there has also been a partial slight decline in this outer Manchu producing area. Investigating the reasons for the opening of a new round of low tide, it is estimated that there are the following four points:

1, grassroots units sell more.

Near the end of the year, farmers' demand for cash increased, and the consumption of corn at the grass-roots level increased. In addition, the recent temperature drop in most parts of Northeast China is also conducive to corn threshing and listing. As a result, the market supply exceeds demand in a short period of time, leading to a decline in corn prices.

2. The wait-and-see mood is getting stronger.

The seasonal selling pressure of corn has been released, the progress of domestic corn sales has been continuously improved, and the market is expected to be bearish, so it is holding a wait-and-see mood. This also made the selling pressure of corn too high, and the demand side began to lower the price, which led to the decline of food prices in many places.

3. Impact of import market

Recently, the overall weakness of corn futures in the United States and the decline in corn import costs will curb the rise in domestic corn spot prices.

4. Optimization of epidemic policy

Since 65438+February, the epidemic situation policies in various places have been continuously optimized, especially the "landing inspection" for drivers and passengers of cross-regional mobile trucks has been completely cancelled, which has led to the improvement of logistics and transportation in various places, and the number of vehicles arriving in front of processing enterprises has increased significantly for several days, resulting in a sharp drop in corn prices.

Will corn rise in the future? Corn price forecast in 65438+February

Judging from the current market situation, due to the release of seasonal selling pressure years ago, the rise in corn prices is the main reason for the recent decline in corn prices. In the short term, it will take some time for these rising pressures of grassroots consumption, so it is expected that prices will continue to be weak. However, you don't have to panic. There is hope to rise in the future, even if it continues to fall, it will not fall much.

First of all, for grain enterprises, stocking before the year is just needed, so the benefits on the demand side have always existed; Secondly, the price of live pigs will be supported before the year, and the demand for free-range feed corn will also increase; Thirdly, due to the rain and snow weather in some areas, the pace of new grain listing is slow, which also determines that the price increase of corn can only be reduced, not so fast at once; Finally, there are other factors such as rising corn planting cost, imported corn, substitution and so on.

Based on the above reasons, as long as there is no unexpected large-scale corn supply before the year, the high probability of corn price before the year is a strong trend, and the probability of a sharp decline is very small.

Generally speaking, many farmers needed funds and sold corn one after another years ago, resulting in an increasing number of corn. So after the previous corn price went up, it began to fall again. Although it is expected that the weakness will continue for some time, the end of the year is approaching, and the demand for pre-holiday stocking of grain enterprises will start one after another. However, there are still uncertainties in the sustainability of farmers' sales and the scale of supply. In addition, with the improvement of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the market generally believes that there will still be a wave of grain sales peak before the holiday, so it is expected that the subsequent corn price will easily rise and fall. Finally, what do you think of this corn price? Do you think it went up or down a few years ago? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.