Will the increase in vegetable prices affected by the weather affect the prices of other products in the market?

Recently, "vegetables and fruits are a little expensive" has become a hot topic among Guangzhou residents, and the recent continuous rainfall has increased their worries. In response to the recent sharp rise in the prices of pork and some fruits and vegetables, a spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce said at a regular press conference last week that, on the whole, the market supply of daily necessities such as meat, eggs, fruits and vegetables is guaranteed and can meet the needs of consumers. With the increasing market transaction volume, the overall prices of vegetables and fruits will show a further downward trend.

What is the situation in Guangzhou? During the visit, the reporter found that although the recent frequent rainfall has had a certain impact, except for a few fruit varieties, the price of fruits and vegetables in our city has not fluctuated greatly at present. At present, the fruit and vegetable market in Guangzhou has formed a mature supply system, so the price is less affected by the weather. All fruit and vegetable suppliers and large supermarkets have indicated that they have taken countermeasures in advance to stabilize production and sales prices, and some kinds of price fluctuations are only short-term.

Some fruit prices have risen, and emerging markets are less affected.

Has the price of fruit increased? The fruit wholesaler from Tianping Fruit Wholesale Market told reporters that the price fluctuation is only a part of fruit, and the price of most fruits has not had much impact yet.

"Even if the price goes up, the purchase will not decrease." Ms. Qian is the owner of a fruit snack shop. She said that her operating costs have indeed been affected by the recent fluctuations in fruit prices, but in her view, "eating fruit is just needed, and the current price increase is still within the tolerance of the public."

Mr. Wang, the wholesaler, told reporters that due to the climate disaster last year, the supply of apples and pears decreased and the prices naturally rose. "The prices of apples and pears have risen rapidly, and it is obvious that the supply is in short supply."

According to the market analysis of Tianping Fruit Wholesale Market released by official website, Guangzhou Agriculture Bureau (May 25th-3rd1), the prices of pomegranate, pitaya and peaches have increased greatly. The person in charge of Jiangnan Fruit and Vegetable Wholesale Market, another large fruit wholesale market in Guangzhou, told reporters that the price fluctuation of the fruit market has been relatively stable in recent years. According to the price information released by the market, the current average wholesale price of litchi is 12. 13 yuan/kg, compared with 7.23 yuan/kg in the same period last year. In addition, the reporter also learned from the Litchi Fruit Farmers' Office that the output of Litchi in Guangdong Province encountered a "small year" this year, and the insufficient supply led to a sharp increase in prices.

The retail market represented by Boxma Xiansheng and Meisi Bai Le Supermarket is another scene.

"At present, the proportion of fruits and vegetables sold by Boxma Xiansheng in Guangzhou is not large, so the weather has little effect on us." The relevant person in charge of Boxma Xiansheng South China said that a few fruits produced in Guangzhou, such as guava, will be affected by rainy weather, and the supply will be unstable occasionally. Recently, the products with the biggest price fluctuation of fruits and vegetables are mainly domestic apples and pears, which are caused by the reduction of production and insufficient supply of fruits of origin. According to the relevant person in charge of Meisi Bai Le, the purchase price of fruits and vegetables in Meisi Baile Guangfo area increased by about 20% in the second quarter compared with the first quarter. In order to ensure the supply of fruits and vegetables in the market and stabilize the prices of daily basic consumer goods, Meisi Bai Le did not significantly adjust the prices, but only a few commodities rose slightly.

Besides the weather, it depends on the market supply.

Unfavorable weather has become a major reason for the recent price increase of fruits and vegetables. In the past three months, the precipitation in Guangzhou has increased significantly. According to the news of Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory, from June 65438+1 October1May 2 this year, the average precipitation in Guangzhou was 8 19.9 mm, which was 74% higher than normal, ranking third in history. From May to June, "Dragon Boat Water" struck, and Guangzhou has issued rainstorm warning and thunderstorm warning for many times. The sharp increase in the price of litchi in Guangzhou is closely related to the reduction of litchi production. The data showed that the flowering rate of litchi in Guangzhou in 20 19 was only 40% of that in 20 18. It is estimated that the output of litchi in Guangzhou this year will be reduced by more than 60% compared with last year.

The relevant person in charge of Guangzhou Agriculture and Rural Bureau analyzed that the temperature was high at the end of last year, and "warm winter" was not conducive to the transition of trees to "dormant" state, and litchi trees could not accumulate nutrients for flower bud differentiation well. In addition, the cold weather in late spring and the influence of rain at the beginning of this year have caused great damage to litchi pollination and directly affected the yield of litchi. In addition, the growth law of litchi every other year and the large yield base last year are also the main reasons for the reduction of litchi production.

"Dragon Boat Festival' Dragon Boat Water' is coming, and the hot weather has increased the transportation and storage costs of fruits. The recent price increase of fruit is in line with market rules. " The relevant person in charge of the Jiangnan Fruit Wholesale Market said that in addition, the demand for fruits has also increased during the Dragon Boat Festival, which has stimulated consumption. People's requirements for the freshness of fruits and vegetables are increasing, which also increases the transportation and storage costs. At present, the supply chain of fruits and vegetables is long, and many suppliers have carried out standardization, packaging and processing operations, built their own logistics distribution centers and developed cold chain systems. Merchants' investment in efficient and advanced modern supply chain construction is finally reflected in the price. In addition, the market's pursuit of high-end categories such as imported and organic fruits has also pushed up prices. The relevant person in charge of Boxma Xiansheng South China said that in terms of imported fruits, several large fruits from Southeast Asia have increased overall compared with previous years, among which durian in Thailand has the highest increase. Durian in southern Thailand is expected to enter the production season at the end of June, and the price will show a downward trend.

Multi-channel guarantee price fluctuation is only short-term.

The recent fluctuation of fruit and vegetable prices is only short-term. According to the information released by Jiangnan Fruit and Vegetable Wholesale Market, the supply of vegetables in other places has steadily increased due to the recent high temperature weather in the country. At the same time, due to the frequent changes in sunny and rainy weather in Guangzhou recently, sufficient sunshine is conducive to the growth of local fruits and vegetables, so a large number of local vegetables began to be listed. "The influence of the weather on our supply is weakening day by day, and now we can ensure a stable supply of fruit and vegetable products in Guangzhou." Wan Junhua, chairman of China Wang Yue Agricultural Group, said that in terms of reserves, the company has established agricultural bases not only in Guangdong Province, but also in the whole country 1 1 provinces and cities to ensure that consumers in Guangdong can eat fresh seasonal fruits with local characteristics all year round. In addition, they will plan ahead, predict the market risks of fruits, vegetables and agricultural products in Guangzhou regularly and irregularly, and take measures in advance to stabilize production and costs.

Even in the "small year" of litchi, there are many adaptable litchi "dark horses" in Guangzhou, and the income of some litchi growers has declined instead of rising. This is inseparable from the support of modern agricultural technology. Guangzhou has cultivated and popularized a number of new litchi varieties with high yield, high quality and good storage and transportation resistance in the main litchi producing areas such as Conghua and Zengcheng, which has promoted the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure. For example, the new superior litchi varieties such as Hongnuo from Conghua Jinggang and Xianjinfeng from Zengcheng are not affected by the weather at the flower bud differentiation stage, which is easy to manage in the later stage and difficult to crack. An increasingly complete supply chain will also help stabilize the prices of fruits and vegetables. "Most of the goods of Boxma Xiansheng come from the direct supply of the base, and the price is determined by the cost rather than the fluctuation of market supply and demand." The relevant person in charge of Boxma Xiansheng South China said that if they launched their own brand "Fresh Day by Day", the highest frequency of Guangzhou citizens' consumption of Chinese cabbage has been maintained in 2.9 yuan/Bao since the New Year. In this regard, the relevant person in charge of Meisi Bai Le also said that the company is actively expanding supply channels and reducing intermediate links, and some fruits and vegetables have achieved direct supply of origin. With the launch of WeChat Mall and the increase of fruit and vegetable production in summer, it is expected that the price of fruits and vegetables will be further stable.