Will the typhoon land on the coast in July?

The continuous rainstorm in June made the newly arrived July very worried. July is always an unsettled day, especially in coastal areas, which is the peak of typhoons. The latest news is that there will be 2~3 typhoons in the coastal areas in July. Let's take a look at more latest typhoon news.

On June 25th, the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources organized a national marine forecasting video conference. According to the consultation, there may be two or three typhoons landing in the eastern and southern coasts of China in July.

According to the results of the consultation, there will be a typhoon storm surge of 1 or 2 in China's coastal areas in July. There will be disastrous wave processes of 0~ 1 time over 4m in Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea, 2~3 times in East China Sea and Taiwan Province Strait, and 2~3 times in South China Sea and Beibu Gulf.

In July, the SST in the equatorial Middle East Pacific will be higher than 0.5, and it will develop into a moderate El Ni? o event. The sea surface temperature in Bohai Sea, western Yellow Sea and most of South China Sea is slightly higher than normal, while the sea surface temperature in eastern Yellow Sea is slightly lower than normal, and other sea areas are close to normal. In terms of sea fog, the fog area will move to the northern sea. It is predicted that the number of foggy days outside Chengshantou in Shandong will continue to increase, with 8- 12 days in Bohai Sea, more than 0/5 days in Yellow Sea/kloc-0, and 4-6 days in East China Sea.

North Sea, East China Sea and South China Sea Forecasting Centers, Liaoning, Hebei, Zhejiang, Fujian, Hainan, Guangxi and Tianjin, as well as Xiamen and Wenzhou Ocean Forecasting Stations attended the meeting.

Watch the coast! It is more likely to land at night on the 2 nd.

Tropical clouds may intensify into a tropical depression (magnitude 6~7) in the northern South China Sea in the afternoon of July 1, and will gradually move to the eastern part of Hainan and the western coast of Guangdong on February 2, with a slightly stronger intensity. It is more likely to land in the above coastal areas in the form of tropical depression or tropical storm (magnitude 7~8) on the night of the 2nd. Affected by it, the wind power in the west of our province gradually increased to 6~8 from 2 nd to 3 rd; There is heavy rain to heavy rain in western Guangdong and coastal cities and counties of the Pearl River Delta, and there is heavy rain in Leizhou Peninsula, with a rotating wind of 6-7.

Typhoon Moon No.4 is still observing the low-pressure disturbance in the South China Sea.

This afternoon, JTWC downgraded the system in the eastern Philippines to a tropical depression. The main reason is that the vertical shear of the wind here has increased this morning, 20-25kt, which is a little scattered, while the sea surface temperature and high-altitude divergent outflow conditions are ok. The future numerical prediction of the system is not optimistic, and the vertical shear force should be considered. In the later period, the focus is on the disturbance development of the South China Sea. The probability of eventually becoming typhoon month 4 is even greater. 2-3 days will lead to heavy rains in western Guangdong, Hainan and southern Guangxi. On April 4, heavy precipitation may also spread to southeastern Yunnan.

Typhoon activity in the western Pacific seems to be more active these two days. For example, on June 27th, Typhoon No.3 "Samba" was generated off the southern coast of Japan, becoming the first typhoon generated after the typhoon "silent period" in the past four months. At noon on June 29, according to the cloud image of Fengyun-4 high-definition visible satellite, there are many tropical clouds in the South China Sea and the sea east of the Philippines, and it seems that a new typhoon will be generated from them.

On the whole, the appearance of "typhoon baby" may still be a sign that tropical cyclone activity in the western Pacific tends to be active. In the next few months, the eastern and southern regions of China will begin to prepare for typhoons!