The central government predicted that there would be a big flood in Sichuan province on 20 16.

According to the judgment of meteorological and hydrological departments, Sichuan showed "heavy waterlogging and light drought" during the flood season this year. Affected by more rainfall, floods in the northeast of the basin, Panxi area, mountainous areas around the basin and western Sichuan Plateau are more serious.

According to the forecast of Sichuan flood season trend in 20 16 released by Sichuan Climate Center, affected by this super El Ni? o event, there may be heavy rain and flood disasters in 20 16 flood season, and the severity may be heavier than 1983, but slightly lighter than 1998. In the flood season (May-September), the overall precipitation is more than normal, the flood disaster is more serious than last year, and the average temperature is mainly high. In the main flood season (June-August), the average precipitation in Guang 'an, Bazhong, Dazhou, Nanchong, Suining, Ziyang, Neijiang, Zigong, Yibin, Luzhou, Aba, northern Ganzi, Liangshan and Panzhihua is higher than normal 1 ~ 20%, among which the average precipitation in Guang 'an, Bazhong, Dazhou and Nanchong is higher than normal by 20 ~ 40%.

According to the hydrological forecast analysis of the Water Resources Department, the flood season in our province shows a trend of "heavy waterlogging and light drought". The main river control stations are dominated by medium and high flood levels, and there may be large floods in Jialing River, Qujiang River and Anning River basins, and some river sections or tributaries may have high water levels. The river floods in the northeast of the basin and Panxi area, and the geological disasters of mountain torrents around the basin and the western Sichuan Plateau are biased. The Department of Land and Resources predicts that in the flood season of 20 16, the geological disasters in our province will still be multiple, multiple and high frequency, and the number of geological disasters after the earthquake is close to the normal level, but it is very likely to be more than 20 15 years. From June to September, the key prevention and control areas include Longmenshan area, western Sichuan Plateau canyon area, northeastern Sichuan and mountainous areas around southern Sichuan Basin.

The above data further shows that the flood control situation in Sichuan Province is extremely severe this year. Therefore, all regions and departments must overcome lax thinking and make all preparations for possible floods.