Cause analysis of urgent need for inaccurate weather forecast

Analysis of the reasons for inaccurate weather forecast;

1. There are too few meteorological observation data available at present.

2. Due to technical and environmental reasons (plateau, forest, ocean, desert, ice sheet, etc.). ), the meteorological observation network is still flawed.

3. Due to the lack of information and network, people's understanding of the mechanism of atmospheric motion is limited.

4. Due to the lack of data, the established numerical weather forecast model can not fully simulate the atmospheric evolution.

5, lack of information, the weather itself changes rapidly, making people unpredictable.

6. Lack of data makes decision-making and forecasting difficult.

7. There will be differences in experience and level among forecasters.

8. The weather forecast is not properly expressed (domestic forecasts rarely say "possible", in fact, probability forecast should be the most accurate)

9, people's own feelings (weather changes may be a small range of things, people in the same place may feel different about the weather)

1 1, the limitations of modern science and technology