Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather inquiry - Five cases of broken window effect

Five cases of broken window effect

1. Broken window effect

Broken window effect What is the broken window effect?

The broken window effect holds that if the bad phenomena in the environment are left unchecked, it will induce people to follow the trend and even intensify it. Take a building with several broken windows as an example. If these windows are not repaired, there may be vandals destroying more windows.

In the end, they will even break into the building. If they find that no one lives there, they may settle or set fire there. A wall, if there is some graffiti that is not cleaned up, will soon be covered with messy and unsightly things;

There are some scraps of paper on a sidewalk, and soon there will be more rubbish. Eventually people will take it for granted and throw it on the ground. This phenomenon is the broken window effect in criminal psychology.

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From the "broken window effect", we can get the truth that the existence of any kind of bad phenomenon is transmitting a kind of information, which will lead to the infinite expansion of bad phenomena, and at the same time, we must be highly alert to those seemingly accidental, individual and slight "faults".

If we turn a blind eye to this behavior, turn a blind eye to it, be slow to respond or fail to correct it, we will indulge more people to "break more windows", and it is very likely to turn into a bad result of "a levee of a thousand miles, collapsing in an ant nest". Just like Liu Bei said, small kindness does not do, small evil does not do.

Not only can we not be the people who broke the window for the nth time, but we should also strive to be the people who repaired the "first window". Even when we can't choose the environment or even change it, we can still try not to be a "broken window".

References:

Sogou Encyclopedia-broken window theory

What does the broken window effect mean?

The broken window effect holds that if the bad phenomena in the environment are left unchecked, it will induce people to follow the trend and even intensify it.

Take a building with several broken windows as an example. If these windows are not repaired, there may be vandals destroying more windows. In the end, they will even break into the building. If they find that no one lives there, they may settle or set fire there.

A wall, if there is some graffiti, will soon be covered with messy and unsightly things if it is not cleaned up. "broken window theory" simply means "damage is beneficial", which means that if a person breaks the window of a barber shop when the market is completely saturated, although this behavior has caused damage to society, the barber's misfortune is the gospel of society, which will create business opportunities for glass manufacturers, who will buy products from other manufacturers after receiving the money.

Under the multiplier effect, the harm he caused to society was only one-off, but the opportunities he brought to society were chain-like, so he came to the conclusion that breaking a piece of glass provided countless money and employment opportunities, which was not worth the candle. First of all, try not to break our window.

In other words, investors should try not to suffer big losses when speculating in foreign exchange. This paper introduces a common method, that is, the liquidation method, that is, you must close your position before your profit position becomes a loss position, that is, before the exchange rate falls to zero.

Unlike stop-loss and profit-taking, the purpose of this method is to let investors avoid losses as much as possible. Second, if the window is broken, it should be repaired in time.

If investors suffer heavy losses when speculating in foreign exchange, they should decisively close their positions and temporarily stop operating. At this time, what investors need to do is to adjust their mentality and patiently look for the next opportunity to enter the market, instead of breaking the jar. Baidu Encyclopedia-broken window theory.

What is the broken window effect?

Broken window theory, also known as the "broken window fallacy", originated from a metaphor in a pamphlet by a scholar named hazlitt (some people think that this theory was summarized by Bastiat, a French economist in the19th century, and as the object of criticism, see his famous article "Visible and Invisible").

Hazlitt said that if a child breaks a window, it will inevitably lead to the window breaker replacing the glass, which will enable glass installers and glass manufacturers to start working, thus promoting social employment. Here, scholars try to explain the consequences of children's behavior and * * * behavior, thus completely denying the Keynesian intervention policy.

"broken window theory" is a typical "destruction creates wealth". It seems appropriate to put such fallacies into floods, earthquakes and wars.

Broken window effect: timely correct and remedy the problems that are happening. The origin of the broken window effect philip zimbardo, a psychologist at Stanford University in the United States, conducted an experiment in 1969. He found two identical cars, one in a middle-class neighborhood in Palo Alto, California, and the other in the relatively dirty Bronx, new york.

The car was parked in the Bronx. He took off the license plate and opened the roof. It was stolen that day. And the one in Palo Alto was ignored for a week.

Later, Simbadu knocked a big hole in the car glass with a hammer. And it disappeared a few hours later.

Based on this experiment, political scientist Wilson and criminologist Karin put forward a "broken window effect" theory, which holds that if someone breaks the window glass of a building and this window is not maintained in time, then others may be connived by some hints to break more windows. Over time, these broken windows give people a sense of disorder.

Therefore, in the insensitive atmosphere of the public, crime will breed and prosper. The performance of the broken window effect We often have such an experience in our daily life: the property on the table and the open door may make people who are not greedy insatiable; The relevant organizations did not seriously deal with the behavior that violated the company's procedures or clean government regulations, and did not attract the attention of employees, which led to similar behaviors happening again or even many times; Relevant leaders don't agree with the uneconomical behavior, so that the waste behavior of subordinate employees can't be corrected, but it is getting worse.

Wait a minute. If the window of a house is broken and no one comes to repair it, soon, other windows will be broken for no reason; If some graffiti appears on a wall and is not cleaned up, the wall will soon be covered with messy and unsightly things.

In a very clean place, people will be embarrassed to throw garbage, but once there is garbage on the ground, people will not hesitate to throw garbage everywhere without any shame. This is the performance of the "broken window effect".

Institutionalization is a common phenomenon in enterprise management. However, the reality is often that there are many systems and poor implementation.

In the long run, the development of enterprises will be very embarrassing. Managers should pay full attention to employees' "petty rape and great evil" behavior in the company, and make a mountain out of a molehill at an appropriate time to prevent others from following suit and never coming back.

There is a company in America. Although small in scale, it is famous for rarely firing employees. One day, Jerry, a senior lathe worker, worked on the cutting table for a while, and then removed the protective baffle in front of the cutting knife and put it aside.

There is no protective baffle, although there are security risks, it will be more convenient and quick to collect the processed parts, so that Jerry can finish two-thirds of the parts before lunch break. Unfortunately, Jerry's behavior was caught by the supervisor who accidentally walked into the workshop for inspection.

The supervisor was furious, told him to put on the protective board at once, and then stood there and shouted at him for a long time, claiming to cancel Jerry's work all day. The next day, Jerry was told to see the boss.

The boss said, "As an old employee, you should know better than anyone what safety means to the company. You finished fewer parts today and realized less profit. The company can replace them with others at another time, but once you have an accident, lose your health or even your life, the company will never compensate you.

Jerry shed tears on the day he left the company. After working for several years, Jerry has both scenic spots and unsatisfactory places, but no one in the company has ever said no to him. But this time is different. Jerry knows this is the soul of the company.

In management practice, managers must be highly alert to those "minor problems" that seem to be individual and slight, but violate the company's core values, and insist on strict management according to law. "The embankment of a thousand miles, collapsed in the ant nest".

If the first broken glass window is not repaired in time, it may bring irreparable losses.

Broken window effect composition

The theory of "broken window effect" comes from an experiment by American psychologist Jamcroton.

In this experiment, a scholar found two identical cars, which were placed in a middle-class community and a disorderly block. He took off the license plate of the car parked in the middle-class community and made a hole in the ceiling. As a result, the car was stolen within one day.

And the car that was left in a messy neighborhood was still intact a week later. Punched a hole in the car and it was stolen a few hours later.

On the basis of this experiment, broken window theory was obtained. An enterprise will always find a phenomenon after careful observation: when the first window glass of a house is damaged, if it is not repaired in time, other glasses will soon be destroyed one after another. If repaired in time, other glass will rarely be damaged.

In fact, the broken window effect is ubiquitous in daily life, and schools are no exception. If there is the first piece of waste paper in a clean campus, if it is not cleaned in time, more garbage will appear soon; There is a footprint on the snow-white wall. If it is not cleaned in time, there will be more footprints. If one day you don't finish your homework on time, even if you just leave a "small tail", if you don't cut it off in time, the "small tail" will grow longer and more, and your academic performance will slowly decline! People's general psychology is that you will hesitate to leave the first garbage on the clean ground, but you will feel at ease if you throw it on the dirty ground! If the public is insensitive, bad behavior will breed. The enlightenment of "broken window effect" is that we should try our best to avoid the "first time" that can cause adverse reactions. If the "first time" is inevitable, it must be repaired in time to avoid adverse chain reactions! .

What do the "Matthew effect" and "broken window effect" in psychology mean respectively?

Matthew effect refers to the phenomenon that the stronger the strong, the weaker the weak, which is widely used in social psychology, education, finance, science and many other fields. Its name comes from a fable in Matthew in the New Testament: "If you have anything, give it to him, which is superfluous;": No, even what he owns should be taken away. " Matthew effect is contrary to the principle of balance and similar to the law of 28. This is a very important natural law. The theory of "broken window effect" means that if someone breaks the window glass of a building and this window is not repaired in time, then others may be indulged by some hints to break more windows. "Frederick? Bastiat is called "the father of broken windows" because of the first section of an article "Visible and Invisible".

What is the broken window effect?

Correct and remedy the problems that are happening in time.

Psychologist philip zimbardo did an experiment in 1969, and these broken windows gave people a sense of disorder. And the one in Palo Alto was ignored for a week.

Later, it disappeared. He found two identical cars and parked one in a middle-class community in Palo Alto, California. On the basis of this experiment, political scientist Wilson and criminologist Karin put forward a theory of "broken window effect", arguing that if someone breaks the window glass of a building, and the result is in the insensitive atmosphere of the public, and this window cannot be repaired in time, then others may be indulged by some demonstration to break more windows.

As time went by, another car stopped in the relatively messy Bronx, new york. The car was parked in the Bronx. He took off his license plate and it was stolen that day. Simbadu knocked a big hole in the car glass with a hammer.

As a result, after only a few hours, crime flourished and the ceiling was opened.

What are the broken window effect and butterfly effect?

The window of the house in broken window theory was broken and nobody repaired it. Soon, other windows will be broken inexplicably; A wall, if there is some graffiti that is not cleaned up, will soon be covered with messy and unsightly things; In a very clean place, people are embarrassed to throw garbage, but once there is garbage on the ground, people will not hesitate to throw it, and they are not ashamed to call it the butterfly effect? Let's talk about the discovery of Lorenz, a meteorologist at MIT.

In order to forecast the weather, he solved the 13 equation simulating the earth's atmosphere by computer. In order to check the results more carefully, he took out an intermediate solution, improved the accuracy and sent it back.

And when he came back to watch it after drinking a cup of coffee, he was surprised: it was a little short, but the result was a hundred thousand miles short! There was nothing wrong with the computer, so Lorenz decided that he had discovered a new phenomenon: "extreme instability to the initial value", namely "chaos", also known as "butterfly effect". The flapping of Asian butterflies will make a tornado worse than strong winds appear in the United States in a few months! This discovery is so serious that scientists don't understand it, and several scientific journals also refuse to publish his articles, thinking that it is "contrary to common sense": if similar initial values are substituted into some equations, the results should be similar, how can they be far apart? The understanding of despair may be overall, but the butterfly effect is about the influence of "one thing" on the result, just as the calculated results will differ by a hundred thousand miles if only a little data is changed.

The reason why the butterfly effect is fascinating, gripping and thought-provoking lies not only in its bold imagination and charming aesthetic color, but also in its profound scientific connotation and inherent philosophical charm. This is what makes people hard to understand.