Can I travel safely during the New Year’s Day and Spring Festival holidays? Is it safe to travel?

After the autumn and winter, some sporadic epidemics occurred across the country. Although it did not cause large-scale transmission, it still made everyone nervous. The New Year's Day and Spring Festival holidays are peak travel periods, so is it safe to travel during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival holidays in 2021?

Since 2010 to December 2010, the temperature has continued to drop in most parts of my country, and sporadic epidemics have occurred in many places across the country.

In less than half a month, local confirmed cases and asymptomatic infection cases appeared in Jiaozhou, Shandong, Chengdu, Sichuan, Manzhouli, Inner Mongolia, Dongning, Suifenhe, Turpan, Xinjiang and other places.

Sporadic epidemics have occurred in many places

Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, recently reminded the public in an interview with the media that wherever an epidemic occurs, the probability of another outbreak in winter is higher than Big elsewhere. But that doesn't mean outbreaks won't occur elsewhere. Any place or thing that involves the entry of foreigners is likely to have an epidemic.

He emphasized that since the beginning of winter, the COVID-19 epidemic has increased sharply in most overseas countries, with the number of infections and contaminated goods increasing. The pressure on domestic anti-import, anti-human, and anti-matter concerns continues unabated. In this global context, there are many sporadic cases in China, which is a normal phenomenon of normalized prevention and control.

As for the risk of the epidemic spreading during the Spring Festival, Zeng Guang, a member of the National Health Commission’s senior expert group and chief scientist of the China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said that the large-scale movement of people during this year’s National Day is considered a stress test. Facts have proved that as long as proper prevention and control measures are taken, the risk is completely controllable.

However, experts emphasize that the situation is different during the Spring Festival. On the one hand, the scale of population movement during the Spring Festival travel period is much larger than that during the National Day. On the other hand, the lower the temperature in winter, the longer the virus survives. In addition, people will visit relatives and friends during the festival, and large-scale indoor gatherings will also increase the risk of the spread of the new coronavirus epidemic. Therefore, the risk of epidemic prevention and control during the Spring Festival will definitely increase.

Zeng Guang believes that although there is a large flow of people during the Spring Festival, as long as there are no infected people in the crowd, there will not be a large-scale epidemic. From this perspective, there is no problem for everyone to go home to celebrate the New Year. But this Spring Festival will certainly not encourage mutual visits or large-scale indoor gatherings.

Is it safe to go out on New Year’s Day and Spring Festival?

Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention: Generally speaking, in places where epidemics have already occurred, the probability of another epidemic in winter is higher than in other places. The place is big.

But this does not mean that epidemics will not occur elsewhere. Any place or thing that involves the entry of foreigners is likely to have an epidemic.

Why did the epidemic occur again in the place where the epidemic occurred?

Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention: In cold winter, especially when the temperature is very low, there will be some difficulties in conducting epidemiological investigations.

There are currently two main aspects of epidemiological investigation: one is person-to-person face-to-face investigation, which is a classic and traditional method of asking patients and close contacts where they have been and who they have been in contact with in the past. Which people's way.

Second, people’s memory may not be so complete that they can clearly remember everything in the past, which requires modern technology, including mobile phone scanning and other action trajectory information that can be recorded.

So when the temperature is particularly low in winter, the functions of these new technologies such as mobile phones will be affected, and may have some impact on epidemiological survey data, especially the assistance of big data.