Did Typhoon Plum Blossom leave any traces?

This year, Typhoon 12, "Meihua", came to the fore and landed twice in the coastal areas of Zhejiang and Shanghai overnight.

It has not only become the strongest typhoon landing in China this year, but also the strongest typhoon landing in Zhoushan and Shanghai, Zhejiang since 1949.

People in Baoyou District are no strangers to its past life, that is, the "plum blossom II" of 20 1 1. At that time, Plum Blossom II was also directed at East China. Although he broke his promise three times and didn't land in China, it still brought obvious wind and rain influence to the Yangtze River Delta.

In contrast, this year's "Plum Blossom" Ⅳ is a frank attack on the Yangtze River Delta. Amazingly, its circulation is still huge after it scored twice, and it will be boarded in Sandeng, Shandong and even Sideng, Liaoning. What kind of typhoon is Mei ⅳ?

Bold and resolute

On the morning of September 8, typhoon 12 was generated this year. At the beginning of its birth, it was regarded as a strong man, but the path was still very uncertain.

In the early morning of September 1 1, "Meihua" intensified into a strong typhoon, and the typhoon eye was clearly visible. @ Central Meteorological Observatory

"Plum Blossom" is steadily and steadily at sea, becoming stronger step by step. In the early morning of September 1 1, it intensified into a strong typhoon, and the typhoon eye was clearly visible. On that day, its path was obviously westward. As it approached, it was more and more likely to land in East China.

However, on September 12, "Meihua" moved slowly, and the deep cold water turned up and its intensity weakened. At the same time, Typhoon Miaobai (13) suddenly came into being. Although it is located deep in the Pacific Northwest, it has no influence on China, but its emergence undoubtedly increases the complexity of the sea plot.

In the early morning of September 13, "Meihua" moved into the warmer waters in the southern part of the East China Sea, and re-strengthened into a strong typhoon at 5 am. At this time, its goal is more clear. It speeds up and goes straight to the "postal area". At this time, "plum blossom" is a threat. Although it is not big, it has "Kazlan big eyes", good structural symmetry and dense cloud system.

Before the typhoon came, the wind and rain came first. Affected by the typhoon itself, the inverted trough on the north side of the typhoon and the cold air, obvious rainfall began to appear in September 12.

According to the statistics of the Central Meteorological Observatory, since September 12, the cumulative rainfall in the central and northern Zhejiang, Shanghai, southeastern Jiangsu and central and northern Taiwan Province Province has been 50 ~ 150 mm, 250 ~ 450 mm in the northern part of Ningbo, Shaoxing, Zhoushan and Taiwan Province, and 542 ~ 592 mm in Shangyu and Shengzhou, Zhejiang. The gusts in eastern Zhejiang, northern Fujian, Shanghai, southeastern Jiangsu and Shandong Peninsula are 7-8, 9-11along the coast of Zhejiang, and some islands and reefs12-15.

Wherever I go, it's always a storm. At about 20: 30 on September 14, Meihua landed in the coastal area of Putuo, Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, with an unobstructed view. When landing, the maximum wind force near the center was 14, which was a strong typhoon. "Meihua" became the first typhoon to land in East China this year, and its intensity far exceeded the first three typhoons that landed in China this year.

Subsequently, it stepped up its pace, sneaked into Shanghai in the middle of the night, and landed again on the coast of Fengxian at about 0: 30 am on September 15, setting a new record again-becoming the strongest typhoon that landed in Shanghai since 1949.

At 2 am on September 15, the center of Typhoon Meihua was crossing the Huangpu River.

It took two and a half hours to attack more than 80 kilometers, and the "Meihua" center crossed the whole of Shanghai from southeast to northwest, leaving gracefully on the morning of September 15.

"Meihua" has weakened into a strong tropical storm at this time, but its circulation form is still intact, and the pressure is still on Jiangsu, Shandong, Liaoning and Jilin.

Everyone will die.

Generally speaking, typhoons will be hit hard after landing, but why is "Meihua" so unique that it can continue to go inland after landing?

"This is mainly due to favorable weather and geographical location." Hu Xiao, chief meteorologist of China Weather Network, analyzed that Meihua was a strong typhoon when it first landed. At the same time, it goes north along the coastline of East China, and half of the main structure is still at sea, so it constantly transports water vapor from the sea to the land while walking, and it is still full of water vapor after landing. Not only that, it also has a younger brother to cheer. 14 Typhoon "Nanmadu" is located in the east of "Meihua" and transports water vapor for it with the help of "southeast wind".

It seems that behind a strong typhoon, there are many factors to help.

For people in the postal area, the last severe plum blossom can be traced back to 20 1 1 year. Due to the repeated use of typhoon names, this year's typhoon "Meihua" is strictly called "Meihua IV", and "Meihua" in 20 1 1 year is called "Meihua II".

The Central Meteorological Observatory said that Mei Er at that time also reached the intensity of a super typhoon, and it also pointed directly at East China, and people nicknamed it Mei Chaofeng. At that time, the sea was also very lively, with three dances, so the path prediction of "Meihua" made the forecaster lose a lot of hair.

At first, it was predicted that Mei Er would land in Zhejiang, Shandong and Liaoning, but it broke the contract three times, chose to go north in the offshore of China, and finally landed in North Korea, which is also commonly known as "plum blossom three lanes".

This year's "Plum Blossom" is aimed at East China, but after the "Plum Blossom Twice", it is not enough, and it will take three or even four times.

The Central Meteorological Observatory mentioned that it always felt that "Mei Si" still had the memory of "Mei Er", which looked like it, the path was like it, and the landing place was compared with the last time.

Comparison of "Plum Blossom" and "Miaobai" in 2022 with "Plum Blossom" and "Miaobai" in 201year. @ Central Meteorological Observatory

Followed by "Meihua", this year's No.3 typhoon "Miaobai" was generated on September 12. Compared with "Plum Blossom" and "Wonderful White" at 20 1 1, their station is simply a replica of that year. Especially "Miao Bai", the birthplace of 20 1 1 and 2022 is super close.

As for "Mei I" and "Mei III", there is no trace left in the history of typhoons. Mei I was born in the dead of winter in 2004 and didn't do much. "Mei San" was the first typhoon in 20 17, which was untimely and ended hastily.

Compared with Plum Blossom 123, the strength of Plum Blossom IV is really outstanding.

Plum Blossom will be listed four times in China.

The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue typhoon blue warning at 06: 00 on September 16:

"Meihua" landed again on the coast of Laoshan District, Qingdao, Shandong Province at about 0: 00 this morning (16). When landing, the maximum wind force near the center is 9 (23 m/s), and the lowest pressure in the center is 990 hectopascals. At 5 o'clock this morning, its center is located in Laiyang, Yantai, Shandong Province, which is 37.0 degrees north latitude and 0/20.7 degrees east longitude, near the center. It will land again in the coastal area from Lushun to Zhuanghe in Liaoning Province around this evening (tropical storm level, 18-23 m/s, level 8-9), and then gradually degenerate into an extratropical cyclone.

China Weather Network said that if "Meihua" landed in Liaoning, it would be the latest typhoon to land in Northeast China (except the typhoon that previously affected Northeast China); Moreover, it is the third typhoon that landed in China four times since 1950, and landed four times on the route of "Zhejiang-Shanghai-Shandong-Liaoning" for the first time.

In this case, "plum blossom" is also a miracle in the history of typhoon life.