What's the weather like in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou from the first day to the seventh day of the first month of the Spring Festival in 20 19?

For the specific weather forecast during the Spring Festival on 20 19, please refer to the long-term weather in the weather forecast for your reference:

Beijing, 2065438+09, February 4: It is sunny most of the time, 6/-7℃.

Shanghai 2065438+February 4, 2009: partly sunny, 12/5℃

Guangzhou 20 19 February 04:: Intermittent cloudy 22/ 15℃

Judging from the long-term weather forecast of the above cities, the weather in Spring Festival travel rush is good this year, and it won't be too cold.

Because the National Climate Center organizes climate experts from national scientific research institutes and business units to conduct scientific consultation and judgment on the climate situation in winter and issue official forecasts from the end of June to 10 every year. With regard to the winter climate trend of 20 18/20 19, the National Climate Center recently made a preliminary forecast: it is expected that the winter temperature will be high in most parts of China, and it is unlikely that winter will occur.

According to the National Climate Center, since June 20 18, the sea surface temperature in the equator, the Middle East and the Pacific Ocean has been warming continuously, and this warming will continue to develop, and an El Ni? o event will be formed in the winter of 20 18/20 19. When El Nino occurred, the winter monsoon intensity in East Asia was weak, and the temperature in China was generally high.

In addition, the winter temperature in China is also affected by the synergistic effect of the East Asian winter monsoon circulation system. Climate models at home and abroad consistently predict that the Eurasian atmospheric circulation is zonal in the winter of 20 18-20 19, which is not conducive to the frequent activities of cold air and is conducive to the warmer temperature in China. And with the approach of the forecast time limit, the forecast results of each model are revised to a warmer trend in a larger range than before.