Weather forecast for Changle in the next three days

Riding the east wind of advancing meteorological modernization in the whole province, it has been playing the role of agricultural meteorological service in the whole province? Forerunner? Weifang Meteorological Bureau once again welcomes new challenges and development opportunities.

The "Implementation Plan for the Construction of Modern Agrometeorological Service System in Shandong Province" clearly points out that adjustment? Weifang Facility Agricultural Meteorological Service Center? Responsibilities and functions, strengthen the guidance and technical radiation of agricultural meteorological service products to surrounding cities and counties, and make it a regional agricultural meteorological service center in the province. ? On the basis of existing work, sum up and upgrade, give full play to the advantages of institutional technical talents, make Weifang agricultural meteorological service bigger and stronger, truly play the role of regional radiation, and build Weifang meteorological service brand. ? Wang Lingjun, Party Secretary and Director of Weifang Meteorological Bureau, and his leading group are full of confidence and hope.

Demand-driven, keep pace with the times, and unswervingly explore new service areas.

? What should meteorological service do? Understand the demand, find the demand, tap the demand, create the demand and meet the demand? , which is called. Create demand? In fact, it is necessary to take the initiative to understand what the other party needs and what problems meteorology can solve, and finally meet the needs of all sectors of society for meteorological services. ? The leading group of Weifang Meteorological Bureau with Wang Lingjun as the monitor has its own meteorological service concept.

Wang Lingjun introduced that Weifang is rich in agricultural resources, with a complete range of agricultural products such as grain, cotton, oil, melons, vegetables, fruits, mulberry and tea. It is an important centralized agricultural production area. In the case of ensuring food security, Weifang has developed a leading industry with melons and vegetables as the main industry, among which the national vegetable production base headed by Shouguang enjoys a good reputation in the north and south of the country. At the same time, other major agricultural products have outstanding advantages in supply security.

The reporter learned that around vigorously developing modern new agriculture, urbanization new countryside and professional new farmers? New three rural areas? On the basis of earlier agricultural industrialization and higher level of agricultural modernization, Weifang Municipal Government has made great efforts to innovate agricultural management system, rural economic organization system, innovative agricultural product quality assurance system, modern rural financial system and agricultural science and technology system. Among them, key breakthroughs, demonstration and guidance, government promotion, market operation, differentiated development and characteristic towns are the main ways to build a new type of urbanized countryside.

Wang Lingjun said that this will inevitably put forward new requirements for agrometeorological services, that is, to further improve the ability and level of weather and climate forecasting, especially the ability and level of medium and long-term climate forecasting and short-term approaching forecasting; Further strengthen agricultural meteorological observation and increase monitoring in various fields and channels; Further improve? Straight through? Agrometeorological services, providing targeted agricultural service products to farmers; Improve the rural meteorological disaster prevention system focusing on prevention, and minimize the loss of meteorological disasters.

? We have the first-Mover advantage to carry the banner of modern agricultural meteorological service in Shandong. ? Wang Lingjun said. The reporter learned that as early as September 20 1 1, Weifang Meteorological Bureau set up the first modern agrometeorological service center in the province, devoted to the research of modern agrometeorological service topics, the research and development of refined products, and the training of agrometeorological service personnel. The center combines weather forecast with crop growth indicators to make service products and send them to farmers in time, which provides powerful help for farmers to make use of climatic and meteorological conditions, rationally arrange agricultural production and scientifically plant and raise. It has played an important role in agricultural meteorological service in Datian, facility agricultural meteorological service and characteristic agricultural meteorological service. At present, the center has 4 full-time business personnel, including 3 senior engineers and 2/kloc-0 engineers with master's degrees.

Clearly integrate key resources and actively and steadily build a new service pattern.

Wang Lingjun told reporters that in recent years, Weifang's modern agricultural meteorological service has achieved a qualitative leap from scratch and from excellent to excellent, which is embodied in the standardization of modern agricultural meteorological service processes, the standardization and standardization of service methods, and the refinement of service business. The modern agrometeorological service network is becoming more and more perfect, with clear levels and prominent priorities. Two systems? The construction forms are diverse and the content is refined.

The reporter learned from Weifang Meteorological Bureau that the bureau has established the monitoring data of automatic weather stations in Shouguang and Changle greenhouses, combined with the types of vegetables and fruits planted in greenhouses, the database of greenhouse vegetable growth and the meteorological disaster early warning system for vegetable production? . According to the production season and growth characteristics of greenhouse vegetables, a service system for issuing continuous cloudy weather forecast, short-term meteorological element forecast in greenhouse and weather forecast of strong wind, cold wave, low temperature and heavy snow was established, which is convenient for farmers to plan agricultural production such as seedling raising, grafting, pest control and picking in advance and effectively play the role of meteorological departments.

At the same time, Weifang Meteorological Bureau carried out refined brand development forecast service in accordance with the principle of overall planning and highlighting key points. Four refined forecasting service systems of brand agricultural products have been established, and the effect is outstanding at present.

- ? Weixian radish? Meteorological service system. Weifang Meteorological Bureau according to the needs of planting in two seasons a year, according to Hetan Town, Hanting District? Weixian radish? Based on the monitoring data of automatic weather station in production base, the meteorological service database of small arch shed planting in early spring and open field planting in autumn was established.

? Changle watermelon? Meteorological service system. The production of watermelon in Changle has been realized in three seasons a year, two of which are watermelon in greenhouse. Weifang Meteorological Bureau established the meteorological service database of watermelon growth in greenhouse in February-April and April-June according to the monitoring data of automatic weather station in greenhouse of Changle Watermelon Base. The key point is to monitor and forecast microclimate conditions such as cloudy days and low temperature damage in key periods such as seedling raising, transplanting and pollination in shed, and provide short-term approaching forecast and early warning services for extreme weather such as strong wind, cold wave and hail in time.

? Anqiu ginger? Meteorological service system. Weifang Meteorological Bureau established a five-element database of ground temperature, shallow ground temperature, temperature, humidity and precipitation based on the automatic weather station of Dajiang Base in Shidui Town, Anqiu City. According to the growth and development characteristics of ginger in seedling stage, vigorous stage and dormant stage, the monitoring and forecasting services of ground temperature, air temperature and humidity from late March to early April are mainly provided to provide suitable sowing date forecasting for ginger production such as large arch shed, small arch shed and open-air plastic film cultivation. Refine the key service measures that are greatly affected by meteorological factors in each growth and development period of ginger, and timely release forecast and early warning information such as high temperature and high humidity, waterlogging and first frost.

? Linyi big cherry? Meteorological service system. Weifang established the microclimate information database of big cherry cultivation in Linqu County based on the monitoring data of automatic weather station of cherry base in Shanglin Town, Linqu County. According to the phenological data and meteorological data of fruit trees in full bloom, the law of climate change is studied, and the forecast of flowering, fruit setting and frost of fruit trees in spring is provided in time, focusing on the meteorological forecast of temperature, accumulated temperature, strong wind and cold wave in the first half of 5438+ 10. The meteorological services in these key links can make Linqu cherry go on the market one week in advance, and farmers' income can double.

Highlight characteristics, create bright spots, innovate scientifically and create new service brands.

Weifang is an important producing area of protected agriculture in China, with an annual output value accounting for more than 40% of the total local agricultural output value. Facility agriculture has become an important pillar for Weifang to absorb rural labor and increase farmers' income.

? Weifang's facility agriculture started very early and its characteristics are very distinct. Except Shouguang vegetables, each county and city has its own characteristic brand agriculture, which has been formed? One county and one product? Planting industrial clusters put forward higher requirements for our ability to serve agriculture? Zheng Xueshan, director of Weifang Modern Agricultural Meteorological Service Center, said? By establishing a trinity service network of facility agrometeorological monitoring, forecasting and service, the comprehensive ability of serving agriculture has been effectively improved. ?

In view of the numerous melon and fruit brands in Weifang city, the characteristics of brand production base and intensification, in recent years, Weifang meteorological department has been? Linyi big cherry? 、? Qingzhou flower? 、? Shouguang vegetables? 、? Weixian radish? Nine microclimate observation stations were built in the greenhouse of key characteristic planting bases, and monitoring equipment was installed to conduct 24-hour follow-up observation of all kinds of crops during the whole growth period.

The reporter learned that Weifang Meteorological Bureau focuses on projects according to the principle of overall planning and highlighting key points? Linyi big cherry? 、? Zhucheng yellow smoke? 、? Shouguang vegetables? 、? Weixian radish? 、? Changle watermelon? 、? Anqiu ginger? Characteristics of agrometeorological service. Among them, greenhouse vegetable microclimate observation stations were established in Shouguang and Qingzhou protected vegetable production bases, greenhouse watermelon microclimate observation stations were established in Changle 'an Shang Hu watermelon production base, open-air and greenhouse big cherry microclimate observation stations were established in Linqu Fruit Demonstration Park and Yuezhuang, Shanglin and Xinzhai big cherry production bases, Weixian radish microclimate observation station was established in Hanting River radish production base, and Dajiang microclimate observation station was established in Anqiu Linghe ginger production base. Zhucheng Xinxing Tobacco Production Base has established the Yellow Tobacco Microclimate Observatory, and Qingzhou Huanglou Flower Production Base has established the Flower Microclimate Observatory, which has laid a solid foundation for refined and characteristic agrometeorological services.

Weifang Meteorological Bureau has established a meteorological disaster grade forecast system and a variety of protective crop refinement index databases by sorting out and revising the growth observation data of different crops for many years, and compiled Weifang Agricultural Meteorological Refinement Index and Service Essentials Manual. The forecast products have basically covered the key protected agricultural crops in the city, and can provide targeted and refined forecast services according to different crops, and serve the protective agricultural production scientifically and effectively.

During the period of facility agro-meteorological service, the agrogas personnel of Weifang Meteorological Bureau make a special report on facility agro-meteorological service every day and a weekly report on facility agro-meteorological service every Monday, and forecast the future weather conditions and make suggestions according to the needs of different crops. Especially when severe weather such as rainstorm, strong wind, low temperature, heavy snow and even cloudy days are predicted, agrogas personnel will assess the impact of severe weather on protected agriculture production in advance according to the occurrence time and influence range of severe weather, combined with the microclimate prediction results of protected agriculture and the actual production of local protected crops, and release and make meteorological disaster early warning products for protected agriculture to farmers in time.

? Facility agrometeorological service is very sensitive to time. Plants that are extremely sensitive to temperature requirements, such as flowers, receive early warning several hours in advance, so that growers have enough time to adjust the greenhouse temperature, and the final benefits will be completely different? . Jing yuan, an agricultural natural gas expert, said? Weifang Modern Agricultural Meteorological Service Center has developed a one-button release system for facility agricultural meteorological disaster warning information based on the purpose of rapid and accurate release, which has achieved one-button rapid release of seven information release channels, including LED, LCD, warning speaker, email, SMS, Tencent Weibo and fax, and the timeliness of information has been significantly enhanced. ?

Summing up and upgrading, basing on long-term overall planning and promoting the new journey of planning service

? Strengthening agricultural meteorological services and giving full play to regional advantages should run through the meteorological modernization. ? Wang Lingjun said. In August this year, the Implementation Plan for Comprehensively Promoting Meteorological Modernization in Weifang City was officially promulgated. On the basis of summarizing and demonstrating modern agrometeorological services, higher objectives and requirements are put forward.

Through the scheme, we can easily see the ambition of Weifang meteorologists.

By 20 17, the construction of rural meteorological disaster prevention system will be further strengthened. Establish and improve the rural meteorological disaster prevention organization system and the rural meteorological forecast and early warning information dissemination system. Strengthen the management of meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation in rural areas, and improve the certification of meteorological emergency preparedness in towns (streets). The establishment of town (street) meteorological disaster prevention leading group, the establishment of town (street) meteorological disaster emergency plan and meteorological disaster prevention rules and regulations. Establish meteorological information service stations in all towns (streets), establish a team of rural meteorological coordinators and information officers covering all towns (streets) and villages, and strengthen operation management and training. A rural meteorological information dissemination system covering towns (streets) and villages in the city was established with electronic meteorological display screen, meteorological early warning speaker and mobile phone meteorological short message as the main body. Vigorously carry out the popularization of meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation in rural areas, and carry out the construction of demonstration villages and demonstration schools for meteorological science popularization. Focusing on meteorological forecast and early warning, agrometeorological disaster prevention, agrometeorological forecast and facility agrometeorological forecast, we will vigorously carry out new agricultural management-oriented projects. Straight through? Meteorological service, improve the ability of agricultural meteorological disaster prevention.

By 20 17, the service capacity of modern agricultural meteorology has been significantly improved. Strengthen the research on agrometeorological service methods, improve the analysis and evaluation indicators and models, and expand modern agrometeorological services such as agricultural weather forecast, facility agriculture microclimate forecast, crop yield forecast, soil moisture monitoring forecast and development period forecast. Improve the timeliness, pertinence and quantification level of agricultural meteorological information products, realize the analysis and evaluation of agricultural meteorological information covering the whole process of main crops before, during and after production, and put forward targeted production management measures and suggestions. Carry out pre-disaster risk analysis, early warning and prediction, follow-up monitoring and diagnosis and post-disaster evaluation and analysis of major agro-meteorological disasters in the city. The scope and types of disaster assessment have been significantly expanded, forming a stable business capability and standardized business products. Complete the city's refined agricultural climate zoning and agricultural meteorological disaster risk zoning. We will continue to expand the field of agrometeorological services, strengthen agrometeorological services for decision-making by governments at all levels and relevant departments, and strengthen agrometeorological services for various farmers' professional cooperatives, agricultural enterprises and large agricultural machinery households? Straight through? Agricultural meteorological service, enrich service content, expand service means and improve the efficiency of agricultural meteorological service.

Behind the ambition is the Weifang Meteorological Bureau's refined agricultural meteorological service and the rural meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation capacity improvement project:

Improve the construction of meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation system and mechanism. Establish and improve the town (street) meteorological information service stations and rural meteorological coordinators and information staff, and strengthen training, operation and management. Improve the township (street) meteorological emergency preparedness certification, and promote the innovation of meteorological service management mechanism in grassroots communities and rural areas. Optimize meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation institutions in cities, counties and towns (streets), and build township-level meteorological disaster early warning centers in meteorological disaster-prone areas to quickly respond to major meteorological support. Improve the emergency plan for meteorological disasters and improve the forecast, early warning and emergency mechanism for meteorological disasters. Strengthen the management of rural meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation, and improve the ability of rural meteorological disaster prevention.

Carry out refined meteorological disaster risk zoning and agricultural climate zoning. Conduct a general survey of rural meteorological disaster risks and establish a database of hidden dangers of rural meteorological disasters. Establish a key service object library. Establish and improve the agricultural meteorological information dissemination system with meteorological electronic display screen, meteorological early warning speaker and mobile phone meteorological short message as the main body, covering all towns and villages in the city. Focusing on meteorological forecasting and early warning, meteorological information and agricultural consultation, agro-meteorological disaster prevention and popularization of agro-meteorological applicable technologies, we will vigorously implement the "new agricultural management" plan. Straight through? Meteorological services, improve the economic and social benefits of agricultural meteorological services.

? Modern agro-meteorological service ability and weather modification support ability have reached the leading level in the province. ? In the next two years, this will be the work goal of Weifang meteorological cadres and workers. (Photo/Reporter Sun Yan)

This article is an original article, the copyright belongs to the author, and it may not be reproduced without authorization! Author:? Sun Yan (WeChat official account: Lu Xiaoxiang)