Typhoon No.1 may be generated on May 1, GFS: it may reach level 16. It is estimated that there will be more typhoons in the north this year.

94W has disappeared, and the initial simulation may reach level 16, but now it has no such intensity, so it should stop editing and disappear, and the typhoon forecast for this year is slightly more than strong. Let's see what the initial simulation data looks like. At least on April 28th, 94W showed signs of strengthening. < P > Since p>22, there has been little news about typhoons. Although several typhoon embryos have formed, they all disappeared in the change of marine areas. At the end of April, the changes in the northwest Pacific and the South China Sea appeared again.

according to the data of the United States joint early warning center, the first typhoon embryo has been formed in April, with the typhoon code of 94W and the center position of 4.7? N 135.5? E, the highest wind speed has increased to 2 kt after generation, and the lowest central pressure is 17 hpa. From the data point of view, it has reached this standard only after 94W, indicating that the typhoon embryos are still relatively good on the whole. Of course, the Japan Meteorological Agency has not yet given a response, and even the cyclone label has not yet appeared.

according to the satellite cloud picture, the development area of 94W is not bad as a whole, and the ocean temperature is suitable for brewing, but the center of 94W is not yet? Convergence? Up, so there is still room for change, but the wind speed and air pressure have changed greatly, which may enhance the possibility of 94W becoming a typhoon. Let's take a look at the data that the supercomputer has given.

from the simulation of GFS, it is pointed out that the embryo of typhoon 94W may come into being earlier, and it is estimated that it will reach the pressure value of 995hpa on April 3th. According to the pressure value, it will probably form the No.1 typhoon wasp in 22. Of course, this is only from the pressure value. At this time, it is possible to name it if it basically reaches 18m/s by comparing the wind speed.

According to the simulation of GFS, the path simulation of typhoon embryo has changed greatly. At first, it was predicted to turn northward along the coast of the Philippines, but under the influence of subtropical high, it may walk westward, and it is predicted to land in the Philippines and finally enter the South China Sea, and finally disappear in the South China Sea. According to the simulation of GFS, the peak pressure of 94W is 979hpa.

It is equivalent to a typhoon with a magnitude of about 12, so the intensity simulation forecast is not large, and it has been lowered a lot. At first, the forecast may reach several times that of a super typhoon with a magnitude of 16 in the north, but now it has changed. This is what we have always stressed. Before the typhoon is formed, we only need to refer to it.

And I need to remind you here that many people may see that there is a low-pressure system on the left in the simulation map. This one is located in the Bay of Bengal, so it does not belong to the northwest Pacific Ocean and the South China Sea, but it is basically the same in nature as a tropical cyclone, and no typhoon will be named. Just pay attention to this. If this cyclone forms in the Bay of Bengal and lands, it may affect the southwest of China. Generally speaking, it will bring some rainy weather, and we have to wait for the development of this low-pressure system. And the European numerical center also shows that the cyclone in the Bay of Bengal is likely to develop and land.

Looking back at the 94W typhoon embryo in the northwest Pacific, it is very likely that it will become the No.1 typhoon wasp according to the simulation trend of GFS, and it may be strengthened on April 3th, but the European Numerical Center (EC) still shows a low simulation display for the time being, so it is said that one is optimistic and the other is not optimistic.

and the intensity simulation is different. EC can only see the tropical depression mode for the time being. How does this develop? We can only refer to both of them, and the simulation paths of different institutions are different. NAVGEM simulation also enters the landing and enters the South China Sea, while GEFS still turns northward. This is the general situation.

on the whole, it's the same sentence, with reference as the priority. As for the typhoon trend in 22, according to the news released by the Climate Center, it is estimated that the number of typhoons landing in China this year is slightly higher and the intensity is stronger, so it has become an important issue to pay attention to the changes of typhoons at all times.

and with the change of climate, we also know that in the development of global storms, they are all developing as predicted by scientists, that is, the global temperature is rising, the ocean storms will become stronger and stronger, and the frequency will become higher and higher, etc., all of which shows that there may be more and more climate anomalies nowadays, and human beings may be further relieved only by improving the environment.