Why is the recent jump in vegetable prices abnormal?

Why is the recent jump in vegetable prices abnormal?

Why is the recent jump in vegetable prices abnormal? According to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, from June 5438+00 (to June 5438+08), the national average wholesale price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored mainly was 4.87 yuan per kilogram. So, why is the recent jump in vegetable prices abnormal?

Why did the recent vegetable price jump abnormally 1 Zhang Jing said that the recent abnormal vegetable price jump was mainly affected by rainfall and low temperature. The rainfall in autumn this year is obviously more than normal, especially after the end of September, it continued to rain in the north and the temperature dropped rapidly. Many vegetable fields in northern vegetable producing areas, such as Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Hebei, Shanxi and Shaanxi, were flooded due to long-term continuous rainfall. , which makes it difficult to harvest vegetables and greatly increases the acquisition cost. Since June 65438+ 10, the market volume of fresh and tender vegetables has obviously decreased, and the average price of some varieties has risen sharply in June 65438+ 10, and the overall vegetable price has also jumped.

A vegetable wholesaler in Beijing Xinfadi Agricultural Products Wholesale Market told the reporter that from the end of September to the whole National Day holiday, although the total rainfall in Beijing was not very large, the rainfall in major northern vegetable producing areas such as Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Hebei and Shanxi was very large, and many vegetable fields were flooded. Vegetables grown in the open field used to be harvested mechanically, but now they can only be harvested manually because of accumulated water. For example, Yucheng, Dezhou, Shandong Province was the main supplier of celery in Beijing market in June+10, 5438, and the purchased vehicles could not reach the field due to water accumulation in the field, so they needed manual transportation. The cost of harvesting and transporting vegetables has greatly increased, and the price has also increased accordingly.

Recently, consumers who often buy vegetables will feel that the price of vegetables is obviously expensive. "Since the National Day holiday, the national vegetable prices have risen sharply." Recently, Zhang Jing, chief analyst of the vegetable market analysis and early warning group of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, told the Economic Daily reporter.

According to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the national average wholesale price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored was 4.87 yuan per kilogram from June 5438+00 (to June 5438+08), up 8.7% from the end of September, and the average price increased by 16.8% in the same period in the past three years. Among them, the average price of cucumber, zucchini, white radish and spinach increased by 65.5%, 36.3%, 30.7% and 26.5% respectively. Relatively speaking, the price of vegetables resistant to storage and transportation remained stable.

According to the law of previous years, as the weather turned cold, the main vegetable producing areas in northern China, such as Shouguang in Shandong and Zhangjiakou in Hebei, gradually entered the harvest period, and the output declined. However, a large number of local vegetables are on the market, and the scale of transporting vegetables from the north to the south is further reduced, and the transportation and preservation costs are reduced. Therefore, the average price of vegetables in China usually shows a slight downward trend. Why have vegetable prices skyrocketed this year?

"At this time in the past, the broccoli sold in the Beijing market mainly came from Langfang and Handan, Hebei. This year, Langfang and Handan broccoli were soaked in rain, which could not meet the demand of Beijing market, so merchants purchased in large quantities from Yinchuan, Ningxia. Now Xinfadi merchants purchase more than a dozen containers of broccoli from Ningxia every day. " Liu Tong, manager of statistics department of Beijing Xinfadi agricultural products wholesale market, said. The spinach in Beijing market mainly comes from Liaocheng, Shandong Province. Recently, it was soaked in rain and rotted in the ground. At present, only a small amount of greenhouse spinach can be listed in Liaoning, and the price has risen sharply. The good news is that the prices of onion, potato, wax gourd, pumpkin, radish, tomato, fungus, ginger and garlic have remained basically stable.

Due to the influence of climate, the price of vegetables has gone up. Is the late supply guaranteed?

Zhang Jing said that the adverse effects of rainy and low temperature on autumn vegetable supply can be divided into two types: the direct impact is mainly that vegetable growth slows down, harvesting is inconvenient, and it can be recovered in a short time; The impact of the delay is mainly the damage to vegetables themselves, such as the damage to roots and branches, which takes a long time to rejuvenate, and some even lose the market directly. Looking forward to the market outlook, vegetable prices are generally high this year, and growers have a strong intention to expand their species. The planting area of Natsuna in the northern cold region increased year-on-year, and the supply of storage-resistant vegetables was sufficient. At present, the area of field vegetables in China is about 654.38 billion mu, a slight increase over the same period of last year, and the supply of vegetables in autumn and winter is guaranteed.

Liu Tong said that according to the normal law all the year round, after the end of September, the vegetable supply area will move south. According to the feedback from the producing areas, the vegetables in the southern producing areas are growing well, most of them can be listed as scheduled, and the supply of vegetables in summer and autumn is basically better than that in the same period last year.

For the future trend of vegetable prices, Zhang Jing predicted that "vegetable prices may continue to rise in the later period, especially the prices of some varieties in the disaster areas may remain high for some time. After the vegetables to be postponed are listed, the price of vegetables may fall back to the average level in the same period of the year. "

Why have vegetable prices skyrocketed recently? 2 "Many dishes are more expensive than meat", which is the feeling of many consumers after the National Day.

The reporter recently visited vegetable producing areas, wholesale markets, supermarkets and other places and found that due to floods and seasonal factors, the "value" of vegetables such as spinach and cucumber has risen, and the price of vegetables will continue to rise in the future.

The vegetable basket is a little heavy, so the merchants reduce their stocking.

"A catty has risen to 12 yuan, and this price can still be bought before!" In a community fruit and vegetable supermarket in Chaoyang District, Beijing, Ms. Xu, a nearby resident, wanted to buy some spinach for cooking, but gave up after seeing the price tag.

A kilo of long cucumber 7.9 yuan, a kilo of lettuce 9.8 yuan, and a kilo of oily wheat 9.5 yuan ... The reporter saw in this fruit and vegetable supermarket that the price of home-cooked dishes has risen sharply, and compared with September, the "value" has basically doubled.

"Spinach is too expensive! The wholesale price exceeds 10 yuan a catty, and I dare not get the goods in recent days. " Ms. Zeng, a supermarket salesgirl, said that some vegetables were expensive to sell and lost a lot, and all of them had reduced their stocking.

According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the prices of vegetables such as cucumber, spinach, white radish and Chinese cabbage all increased during the week from June 8, 65438 to June 5, 2008. Among them, the prices of cucumber and spinach increased by 28.2% and 2 1.3% respectively, up by 87.7% and 42.0% respectively.

In addition, from the recent price chart of Beijing Xinfadi Market, the price of vegetables has been rising continuously since June 5438+ 10, among which green leafy vegetables such as spinach have been rising rapidly.

"The purchase price has gone up, but the sales price can't go up, otherwise it can't be sold." In the wholesale market of agricultural products in Xinfadi, Mr. Zhang, a caterer who came to purchase spinach, said that the cost of vegetable prices mainly depends on internal digestion.

Wholesalers can't receive the goods, and the income of growers in Otawa is flat in previous years.

Not only is the consumer's "vegetable basket" heavy, but for many vegetable wholesalers, the price of vegetables has gone up since they collected vegetables in the field.

In the wholesale market of agricultural products in Xinfadi, Mr. Xu, who has 7 years of experience in vegetable wholesale, said frankly, "Compared with the usual purchase price of one kilogram in 2 yuan, the purchase price of spinach has now risen to one kilogram in 6 yuan, which is unprecedented."

From the week of September 19, Shouguang Vegetable Price Index, known as the barometer of vegetable prices in China, rose for four consecutive weeks, among which leafy vegetables and solanaceous vegetables rose greatly.

"Spinach production is limited, even if the purchase price is raised, it will not be much." Mr. Xu said that it usually takes two days to collect a car, but now it takes at least three to four days.

Wang Chun is a first-class wholesaler of Shouguang Agricultural Products Logistics Park. He said that the purchase price of high-quality spinach ranged from 5 yuan to 8.5 yuan, while the purchase price in the same period last year was one catty in 2 yuan. Even if it rises several times, wholesalers will still snap up it. "The supply is really too small."

The reporter learned that due to continuous rainfall, the vegetable output of most growers is not as good as in previous years, but the vegetable price is higher. Generally speaking, the income is the same as in previous years.

"In previous years, 5 mu of land could produce 40,000 to 50,000 Jin of cucumbers. This year, because of the rainy weather, 20,000 Jin of cucumbers were produced, and the selling price more than doubled. The overall income is the same as last year. " Zhao, a cucumber grower in Shouguang, said.

Seasonality, rain and other multiple factors lead to the increase in vegetable prices.

According to the analysis of the insiders, at present, at the time of "green and yellow", the listing of vegetables in summer has basically ended, and a small number of vegetables have been listed in autumn and winter. Coupled with the rapid cooling and heavy rains this year, the growth of vegetables in the main producing areas is slow, and the production of vegetables in some areas has been reduced after being flooded by rain, and the market supply has decreased, resulting in a sharp increase in vegetable prices.

He Xiaojie, a vegetable price analyst at Shouguang Agricultural Products Logistics Park, said that as the weather turned cold, vegetables in the northern producing areas were steadily delisted, and the supply of tomatoes, organic cauliflower and other vegetables was tight, prompting prices to rise.

Liu Tong, head of the statistics department of Beijing Xinfadi Market, analyzed that taking the spinach in Beijing market as an example, due to continuous rainfall, the spinach produced in Liaocheng, Shandong Province was soaked, and farmers could not be arranged to replant in time, so the supply could only be guaranteed by subsequent greenhouse production. However, it will take some time for spinach produced in greenhouses to go on the market. At present, only a small amount of spinach in greenhouses in Liaoning and other places can be listed, and the supply is greatly reduced, resulting in high vegetable prices.

Since the beginning of this year, the prices of seeds, fertilizers and pesticides have risen, pushing up the cost of vegetable planting; Oil prices continue to rise. In September, the prices of gasoline and diesel increased by 23.4% and 25.7% respectively, which led to the increase of transportation costs and pushed up the price of vegetables.

Vegetable prices are easy to rise and difficult to fall, or boost the CPI increase of 5438+00 in June.

Judging from the fundamentals of vegetable supply, according to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the vegetable area in Datian in China is about 654.38 billion mu, which is flat and slightly increased year-on-year, which has a good support for maintaining the balance between supply and demand.

"With the recovery of vegetable production, some vegetables that have been delayed will be listed one after another, and the prices of some varieties may also fall, but continuous rainfall may lead to poor connection. It is expected that the overall price of vegetables in winter will be high. " Zhang Jing, an associate researcher at the Institute of Agricultural Information, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said.

He Xiaojie analyzed that there is a strong demand in the vegetable market at present, such as customers from the north actively enter the market, schools start after the National Day, units start work, and the demand for canteens increases. In addition, Shanxi and other places are affected by heavy rainfall, the self-supply capacity of vegetables is insufficient, the demand of buyers is enlarged, the goods flow smoothly, and the price is easy to rise and difficult to fall in the short term.

It is worth noting that the price of vegetables has risen rapidly since June 5438+00, or it will drive the food data of the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rebound. Maintaining stable supply and demand and stable prices in the consumer market is under certain pressure.

In order to increase the supply of vegetables in Beijing market and stabilize the price of vegetables, Beijing Xinfadi Market organized 3 million mu of self-owned planting bases and merchants nationwide, increased the deployment of vegetables in Beijing and developed new sources of goods.

Keke, director of the Department of Market and Information Technology of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said that the next step will be to implement the "green channel" policy for the transportation of fresh agricultural products with relevant departments, and smooth the passage of materials to the countryside and agricultural products from the village to the city; Strengthen market information monitoring and early warning, and timely release price and supply and demand information; Implement the mayor responsibility system of "vegetable basket", do a good job in autumn vegetable production, and effectively guarantee the production and supply of "vegetable basket" products.