Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather forecast - Zhuge Liang can calculate everything, why can't he calculate that the luck of the Han Dynasty has run out and he will eventually return to the State of Jin?
Zhuge Liang can calculate everything, why can't he calculate that the luck of the Han Dynasty has run out and he will eventually return to the State of Jin?
Zhuge scolded Wang Lang to death, and Wang Lang kept talking about the number of days. Why didn't he know that the number of days was going to be scolded to death by Zhuge Liang, an imperial envoy who thought he had the title of fairy? If he knew the days of his humiliating death, would he dare to go to war?
When Wargo and his son invaded Shu, I'm afraid the emperors and nobles of Cao Wei were not much better than Liu Chan.
Not counting these, let's see, which of the three major battles of the Three Kingdoms developed according to the so-called "heaven" process?
In the battle of Guandu, Yuan Shao's territory and strength were far greater than Cao Cao's. Who can be sure that Cao Cao will win in advance?
We have seen many times that Cao Cao was so anxious that he couldn't sleep all night because of food, grass, war and other issues.
Most of Cao Cao's men had secret letters with Yuan Shao, otherwise there would be no saying that Cao Cao burned books to appease the army.
Battle of Red Cliffs, Cao Cao, who knew Sun Tzu's art of war, personally led the team and was defeated in the end. Who worked out the result of this defeat before the war? Now the weather forecast may be wrong. Why was the easterly wind 1800 years ago certain? In case, will there be such an embarrassing scene as "the east wind doesn't follow, and the bronze sparrow terrace locks Er Qiao"?
Besides, Liu Bei's 800-mile company set up camp. Afterwards, all three-year-old children knew that Liu Bei had committed a military taboo and could not set up camp in Maolin. This is wise after the event. Is the wisdom and fighting capacity of the whole army of Wu not as good as that of a three-year-old child? If, at this time, Lu Xun happened to be released from office and led by another person who did not understand the fire attack strategy, what would be the outcome of the Yiling War? Who can tell the result? It may be that Sun Quan was captured in World War I. ..
1, Liu Bei's popularity gathering ability
After Liu Bei claimed to be the king of Zhongshan, Liu Sheng, his opponent joked that he was preparing to make up seats and sell shoes. Anyway, Liu Bei's identity was finally admitted by Emperor Xian of Han Dynasty, and he was considered an uncle. At the very least, this identity is not worse than Liu Xiu, the founding emperor of the Eastern Han Dynasty. One of the key points of the restoration of the Han Dynasty is the problem of people's backs. There is no doubt that Liu Huangshu was the best spokesman for the Han emperor when he was under house arrest. Moreover, Liu Bei has a reputation for benevolence and righteousness, and his followers are numerous, such as Guan, Zhang and Zhao. Everywhere he goes, local people pay tribute to him. It can be said that Liu Bei is the most potential competitor in the world.
2, their own literary martial arts
When Zhuge came out of the mountain, he first joined forces with Wu to resist Wei and Battle of Red Cliffs, forming a third of the world's power, and also seized (borrowed) Jingzhou. Whenever Liu Bei went abroad to fight, Zhuge sat in the back, managing internal affairs and dispatching personnel and materials. Especially in the later period, when General Shu Han was dying, Zhuge supported the sky alone, selected successors, trained his own successors for the army, and extended the life of the Shu regime for about 30 years.
In the early stage, Shu and Han were divided into three parts in the world, which was basically realized in turn according to Zhuge Liang's strategy of Longzhong. If you carefully observe Longzhong Dui, you will also find that Zhuge's basic strategy was originally divided into three parts, not unified the world. The latter can only be regarded as an ideal goal for a simple reason. When the world changes ... why should people change? To put it bluntly, it means "you give me 300 million yuan and I will do whatever I want."
It can be said that with the cooperation of Zhuge Liang, Liu Bei easily achieved the basic goal. People who like to spray Zhuge can really shut up. In addition, Zhuge Liang also invented the high-tech such as wooden ox and flowing horse, Zhuge Liang crossbow and Kongming lantern. If these things are used well, we can turn the tide at a critical moment.
Therefore, it can be said that Zhuge Liang's preparatory work is enough to achieve the basic goal. He has done a lot of extra homework for the unknowable great cause of reunification, such as wooden horses and crossbows.
Why not wait until the world changes?
Let's talk about it. Why didn't Shu Han wait for the world to change?
These three accidents ruined the bright future of Shu Han's revival:
(1) guan yu careless lost jingzhou.
When it comes to losing Jingzhou, many people say that it is only a matter of time before Jingzhou falls. This is really a big talk. With Guan Yu's deterrent and handsome talent, can't keep Jingzhou? If Guan Yu had not been greedy for perfection and misjudged the situation, Jingzhou would not have fallen even if it was in danger. However, he neglected the overall situation and went north privately, forgetting his original intention (guarding Jingzhou).
If Guan fully realized the importance of Jingzhou, he shouldn't have gone to the north and forgotten to return after a fierce battle.
② Liu Bei's Yiling fiasco.
"The Art of War" said: Soldiers, the important events of the country, the place of life and death, and the way of survival must be observed. If Guan Yu's recklessness, regardless of the overall situation, lost Jingzhou, the most important military strategic location, then Liu Bei's mistakes ruined Shu Han's military hard power, and the specific situation of military resources was unpredictable. Not only did he lose a lot of soldiers and supplies, but many generals also died. In April of the following year, Liu Bei also died of resentment. A good situation like this, can this count as the number of days in Si Mahui's mouth?
(3) Liu Beihan orthodoxy in the name of decline.
Finally, it is also a counterattack against the core competitiveness of Cao Wei-Han orthodoxy. At the end of the Eastern Han Dynasty, there were some forces that really possessed the orthodoxy of the Han Dynasty. During the Three Kingdoms period at the end of Han Dynasty, there were four kinds of "kingways", which could affect the luck of Han Dynasty.
First, the central government headed by Emperor Xian of Han Dynasty
After Dong Zhuo's death, if Emperor Xiandi and his vassals can turn the tide and reorganize the dynasty, perhaps the Eastern Han Dynasty will continue to rule for a long time. However, after the rebellion in Li Jue and Guo Si, Emperor Xian of Han Dynasty and his Ban Chao mistakenly fell into the hands of Cao Cao, and they became caged birds.
B, the Han army everywhere, especially the Central Plains.
After Emperor Xian of the Han Dynasty became a puppet, the influence of all localities on the Han Dynasty was still very strong. However, with the passage of time, the Cao Wei regime gradually stabilized and its influence on the Han Dynasty gradually declined. After the demise of Emperor Xian of the Han Dynasty, this greatest power to the Han Dynasty was completely out of sight.
The real reason why Liu Bei couldn't go north was that he was trapped in internal affairs and diplomacy and deviated from the most important people's support in the Han Dynasty.
C. Liu Bei was the spokesman of the imperial power in the Eastern Han Dynasty.
Jingzhou and Yizhou were obtained by disgraceful means, and the glorious image of Han Fuxing Dynasty was completely destroyed. In the battle of Yiling, Cao Wei was thrown into the 800-mile sea of fire and died in Baidicheng. After Liu Bei's death, there was no one to support the Han people in the world.
D, Jingzhou, the core base of Shu Han.
All the core supporters of Liu Bei's management, the vast number of pro-Liu people and everyone's clan in the middle and early stage have roots in Jingzhou area. In 220 AD, Guan Yu lost Jingzhou, the only place where Wang Qi gathered.
Consequence: Not only did Liu Bei's support force suffer devastating damage. At the same time, from then on, Shu Han became the country with the largest internal friction among the three countries, because it had to run in with local (Yizhou) subjects.
As for the later Yizhou philosophers, they were not in harmony with the core philosophers of Shu and Han Dynasties. At the end of Shu and Han Dynasties, local officials in Yizhou used predictions to confuse people. Even many people are willing to take the lead and take the initiative to vote for Wei Yi. Don't expect these people to have the courage to restore the Han Dynasty.
Summary: Zhuge Liang not only did not wait for the fatal transformation of Cao Wei, but his political power of Han Shu also had to accept the above three major changes:
1, unpredictable, and unable to stop Guan Yu, who is the second person of Han Shu, can only let Jingzhou surrender;
2. No matter whether cutting Wu is right or wrong, in short, it is a defeat and a defeat, basically losing all hard-core assets. This is the strategy of "going its own way" formulated by master Liu Bei. The gamble didn't succeed. Since then, Wu and Shu have almost no military forces that pose a fatal threat to Wei, and they are basically on the defensive;
3. As for the wishes of the people of Xing Han, on the one hand, Cao Cao and his son are very clever, playing with Emperor Xian of Han in applause and successfully completing the abdication; On the other hand, Liu Bei's uprising was congenitally deficient, and he had to reluctantly acquire Jing and Yi states, so he had to storm Yizhou and betray his faith.
These are all accidents in Longzhong. If history repeats itself, who can guarantee that these three things will end like this? But whenever one or two things have a good result, Zhuge's northern expedition, why is it so difficult and often comes back in vain?
So when Zhuge Liang came out of the mountain, there was no so-called number of days waiting to curse him. Everything is just a desperate attempt to "do your best and listen to your destiny".
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