Looking at the whole country, these may be the six cities that are most suitable for buying houses in 20 17 years.

As we all know, with the effect of large-scale restrictions on purchases and loans beginning to appear, the fiery property market has cooled down instantly, but a recent news has made people nervous-in recent days, some articles about "flying to Chongqing to buy a house" have been widely circulated in the circle of WeChat friends, and the "fiery" real estate market in Chongqing has aroused social concern. According to the statistics of a real estate research institute, since the end of February, 2065438+2006, the transaction area of new commercial housing in Chongqing has increased obviously.

According to the analysis, the reason why Chongqing can attract such great attention at present is nothing more than two factors:

First, in the past 20 16, housing prices in some cities in China skyrocketed, but Chongqing was called a "clean stream". According to the statistics of real estate professional organizations, in five years, the house price in Chongqing has only increased by 12%.

Second, major first-and second-tier cities in China have restarted the policy of restricting purchases and loans, while Chongqing not only has relatively low housing prices, but also has no restrictions on the policy of restricting purchases and loans, making it very easy to buy a house.

Therefore, more and more foreign buyers have shown great interest in the Chongqing property market, and their willingness to buy houses is growing.

Apart from Chongqing, what other cities will become the new growth points of the property market in 20 17?

First, let's look at the economic environment of the city. After all, the economic environment is good, and the overall development of the city can develop well.

In the decades of reform and opening up, the industrial, economic and population policies formulated by the central government and various provinces and cities have accelerated the formation of urban agglomerations. More than 200 cities in China have a population of over 6,543.8+0,000 (only 35 cities in Europe have a population of over 6,543.8+0,000), thus forming the following economic circle:

Great Yangtze River Delta Economic Circle: Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Suzhou, Hefei, Ningbo and Wuxi.

Bohai Economic Circle: Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Taiyuan, Jinan and Qingdao.

Greater Pearl River Delta Economic Circle: Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan

Northeast Economic Circle: Shenyang, Harbin, Changchun and Dalian

Strait Economic Circle: Xiamen and Fuzhou

Central Economic Circle: Wuhan, Zhengzhou, Changsha and Nanchang

Southwest Economic Circle: Chengdu, Chongqing, Kunming and Guiyang

Northwest Economic Circle: Xi and Lanzhou

It can be found from the list that most cities in the eight economic circles have implemented the policy of restricting purchases and loans, that is to say, the new growth point of 20 17 is likely to come from the cities in the eight economic circles that have not implemented the policy of restricting purchases and loans, and the Northeast Economic Circle is the only economic circle that has not implemented the policy of restricting purchases and loans.

Secondly, according to the administrative level, China's cities are divided into the following levels: municipalities directly under the central government (provincial level), some provincial capitals (sub-provincial level) and five cities with separate plans (sub-provincial level).

Municipalities directly under the Central Government: Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin and Chongqing

Sub-provincial capital cities: Guangzhou, Nanjing, Wuhan, Shenyang, Xi, Chengdu, Jinan, Hangzhou, Harbin and Changchun.

Cities with separate plans: Shenzhen, Xiamen, Qingdao, Dalian and Ningbo

Capital cities of prefecture-level cities: Shijiazhuang, Zhengzhou, Changsha, Fuzhou, Nanchang, Nanning, Kunming, Guiyang, Urumqi, Xining, Hohhot, Lanzhou and Lhasa.

Everyone in municipalities directly under the central government and provincial capitals can understand the interest relationship. Here is a brief introduction to the benefits of cities under separate state planning. The most favorable thing is that the revenue and expenditure of cities with separate plans are directly linked to the central government, and the central finance and local finance are divided into two parts, which need not be turned over to provincial finance. Then, in the medium-and long-term annual plans of provinces and municipalities directly under the Central Government issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Council, these cities are directly issued. Provinces and municipalities directly under the central government are invited to participate in meetings convened by relevant state departments. Conduct comprehensive pilot projects for political and economic restructuring in these cities.

Finally, let's look at an easily overlooked point, that is, urban rail transit. To measure whether a city is developed or not, the most important criterion is whether the city has a perfect underground transportation network, or in layman's terms, the subway.

For major projects such as the subway, special websites are generally used, and these projects can only be built after they have been applied to and approved by the National Development and Reform Commission. So it is not difficult for everyone to find such a plan. Generally Baidu will have it. At present, the cities that have been opened and approved by the National Development and Reform Commission to build subways are: Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Foshan, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Chongqing, Changsha, Ningbo, Guiyang, Chengdu, Hefei, Dalian, Nanjing, Kunming, Dongguan, Suzhou, Wuxi, Shenyang, Changchun, xi 'an, Hangzhou, Zhengzhou, Nanchang, Qingdao, Fuzhou and Xiamen.

Major projects and subway stations have a significant impact on the prices of surrounding real estate. Simple logic: a community is a multi-billion-dollar project, and this community must pay a premium.

If a city will become a new growth point of the property market in 20 17 (Chongqing is not included), the above three conditions must be met. Therefore, according to the 360 mortgage analysis, the following cities have great opportunities:

Shijiazhuang

Needless to say, the geographical location of Shijiazhuang, the price increase of 20 16 is also amazing, but the employment environment and air environment in Shijiazhuang have become the shortcomings that hinder the further rise of Shijiazhuang property market. If 20 17 Shijiazhuang can solve the smog weather and attract a large number of talents, I believe the property market will have further development space.

Changsha

When it comes to Changsha, everyone will immediately think of all the ace entertainment programs of Mango Taiwan. However, in the development of 20 16 property market, the price increase in Changsha is far less than that in Wuhan, Zhengzhou and Nanchang in the central region. However, with the resumption of restrictions on purchases and loans in these three major cities, Changsha has ushered in new development opportunities.

But the problem now is that according to a friend who wants to buy a house in Changsha, Changsha currently has strict restrictions on the down payment of the "double-foreign" population (non-Changsha household registration, no local social security in Changsha). The down payment for the first suite is at least 50% and that for the second suite is 6.5%.

Guiyang, Kunming

Over the past year, Kunming and Guiyang seem to have been forgotten in the corner of the property market. Whenever people talk about the property market, they will never think of Kunming and Guiyang.

However, with the opening of the 20 17 Kunming high-speed railway, the travel time from Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other places to Kunming will be greatly shortened, truly "walking a thousand miles southwest in half a day". As famous tourist cities, Kunming and Guiyang will surely attract more and more attention.

Qingdao, Ningbo

As a city with separate plans, Shenzhen is already the most expensive city in China, Xiamen is also one of the "four little dragons", and Qingdao and Ningbo seem to have no reason to be depressed.

On the other hand, the purchase restriction policies in Jinan and Hangzhou are approaching day by day, and the heat in the province will definitely shift. Qingdao and Ningbo seem to be the only choices.

As for Dalian, I'm really sorry. The overall economy in Northeast China is too depressed. It's hard to turn over! ! !

(The above answers were published on 2017-01-12. Please refer to the actual situation for the current purchase policy. )

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