Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather inquiry - The probability of rainy days in a certain area in a season is 0.3, and the accuracy of the weather forecast by the meteorological station is 0.8. The products produced by a certain factory are afraid
The probability of rainy days in a certain area in a season is 0.3, and the accuracy of the weather forecast by the meteorological station is 0.8. The products produced by a certain factory are afraid
The probability of rainy days in a certain area in a season is 0.3, and the accuracy of the weather forecast by the meteorological station is 0.8. The products produced by a certain factory are afraid of rain that day, and if it rains, they will not
(1) 900 yuan (2) (3)
(1) Assuming the number of losses, the probability distribution is:
0
3 000
P
0.7
0.3
∴E( )="3" 000×0.3=900 (yuan).
(2) is the loss number, then
P(=0)=0.7×0.8=0.56.
P( =500)=0.3×0.8+0.7×0.2=0.38.
P( ="3" 000)=0.3×0.2=0.06.
The probability distribution is: It is the right choice to make rainproof treatment according to the weather forecast
0
500
3 000
P
0.56
0.38
0.06
∴E( )=500×0.38+3 000×0.06=370< /p>
The average daily loss is 370 yuan.
∵370<900, ∴It is the right choice to prevent rain according to the weather forecast.
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