The weather in Beijing on April 29th.

In early June, the weather gradually became hot and dry. Recently, the domestic market for pigs, gasoline, firewood and eggs is also restless, and the prices fluctuate! Among them, the price of gasoline and diesel has ushered in the "ninth increase" this year. In Shandong, the price of local No.92 gasoline has risen to 8.99 yuan/liter, and the price in many places in China has exceeded that of 9 yuan/kg. The latest news, oil prices are going up again! In the pig market, the pig price is slowly rising. Compared with the end of March, this round of pig prices rose by 35%, and farmers gradually got rid of the loss performance. In the egg market, the recent market downturn. However, with the gradual improvement of the domestic mask problem, the terminal market has accelerated, and the domestic production and marketing market, the price of eggs has risen to the sky! What happened in the market? The specific analysis is as follows:

First, oil prices are going up again!

It is understood that at 24: 00 on May 30, domestic refined oil prices ushered in the performance of the first 10 adjustment in the year, and the price generally rose by 0.3 yuan/liter, and the price of No.92 gasoline in various regions of the country rose into the "9 yuan era". In the last six months, the price of No.92 gasoline rose more than 3 yuan/liter. It is understood that the new round of price adjustment cycle is approaching, and the domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be adjusted at 24: 00 on June 14.

At present, according to the change of international oil price, the price of gasoline and diesel has increased by 277 yuan/ton in this pricing cycle, and it is estimated that the domestic price of gasoline and diesel will increase by 02 1~0.25 yuan/liter, which also means that the domestic price of No.92 gasoline will generally increase and enter the "9 yuan era"!

Second, the price of pigs has increased by 35%!

Since March, the bottom support of pig prices has risen, and domestic pig prices have started a new wave of price increases. Under the support of the general rising market, with the ban on pig transportation in Guangdong market, domestic pork storage and storage has been continuously promoted. The market is optimistic about the sharp rise in pig prices in the third quarter and the phenomenon of medium and low standard pigs, and the price of live pigs continues to strengthen. After mid-April, the market rose sharply. However, with the poor follow-up of consumption, the pig price has been dominated by shocks since May, and the market has further surged.

At present, the average price of live pigs in China is 15.85 yuan/kg, and this round of pig prices has risen to 4. 1 1 yuan, an increase of 35%! Pig prices have risen sharply, and farmers have gradually started a profit model. However, due to poor consumption, the pressure of pig delivery in slaughterhouses has increased sharply, and the loss performance has rebounded. In some slaughterhouses, the slaughter of pig heads costs about 1.20 yuan. Therefore, slaughterhouses not only have a strong feeling of price reduction, but also have a weakened purchasing enthusiasm. However, due to the insufficient circulation of pigs, the price of pigs is slowly rising!

According to the data, on June 8th, the price of pigs in the national market was stable and strong, and the price in most areas was sideways, with a few areas rising by 0.05~0.2 yuan/kg! At present, the price of black chicken is sideways at 15.5~ 15.7 yuan/kg, while the southern market is stable at 16~ 16.45 yuan/kg except for most parts of East China, and the price difference is almost filled! At present, the regional standard fertilizer difference has also been significantly reduced, which also means that the market acceptance of fat pork is getting worse, and the risk of heavy pigs is increasing sharply!

At present, the domestic pig market continues the situation of less slaughter. However, the domestic sow stock is on the high side, the pig production capacity is still in a loose stage, and the bullish sentiment of human factors has aggravated the performance of "lack of pigs" in the market. However, with more and more pigs in pig farms, the slaughter sentiment of heavy pigs may rebound. Especially in June and July, the risk of "small non-"in pig farms increased sharply, and the consumer market lacked obvious benefits.

Third, the egg price production and sales * * * shock!

Since the beginning of May, the egg market has started the price decline mode. As the number of newly opened laying hens in the market is increasing, but the number of eliminated chickens is decreasing, with the increase of temperature, it is more difficult to flee goods in the consumer market, the enthusiasm of replenishing stocks in the terminal market is getting worse, and the price of eggs in the production and marketing market is falling!

However, after the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, as the price of eggs in some producing areas fell below 4 yuan/kg and the problem of masks in China improved obviously, the demand in some consumer markets was boosted. Due to the tight supply in all aspects of production and marketing, the price of eggs has risen against the trend, and the sales area has driven the production area, and the price has "risen"!

The data shows that the arrival price of eggs in Beijing market rose by 0. 1~0.2 yuan/kg, and the price of eggs in Dayang Road rose to 4.5 yuan/kg.

The Shanghai-Guangdong market quoted sideways, and the Shanghai market was sideways at 4.29 yuan/kg! Egg prices in Shandong, Hebei, Henan, Liaoning, Jiangsu and other places generally rose by 0. 1 yuan/kg, and the high-priced egg source in Shandong market rose to 4.5 yuan/kg!

According to industry analysts, with the gradual reduction of egg stocks in the sales market and the gradual improvement of mask problems, the receiving sentiment in the terminal market has become more intense, the enthusiasm of traders for receiving goods has increased, some farmers have supported the price sentiment, and the egg market has rebounded! However, in midsummer, the high temperature and high humidity environment is still an obstacle to the increase of egg prices, and the emotional deviation of all aspects of production and marketing for hoarding goods may limit the room for this round of egg price increase!

Warning! The price of pigs has soared by 35%, the price of eggs has soared, and the price of oil is going to rise again. What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!

# Today's national hog price #