Warning! Corn, wheat and rice are polarized, will peanuts skyrocket? What the hell is going on?

Farmers who planted the land last year may have a great increase in income if they plant the right variety, but if they plant it wrong, it is really a torment. Not only is it hard to sell, but it is also cheap and doesn't make money at all.

In March 2022, the grain market is divided, and the prices of corn, wheat and rice are different, which may continue to expand. Everyone should be psychologically prepared.

What the hell is going on? Let's take a look at them one by one:

First, the price of corn rose again after the shock.

After the corn market rose from late February to early March, it fell into a volatile trend. Many people in the market thought that it would probably fall back after the shock, but judging from today's trend, the market unexpectedly rose.

On March 17, although there were not many rising enterprises, they were widely distributed, and many enterprises in Northeast China, Shandong and other places rose.

Among them, six enterprises in Shandong Province rose, and Changle Shengtai rose by 20 yuan, 29 10 yuan/ton; Changle Xuan Ying rose 20 yuan, 3060 yuan/ton; Tian Li Pharmaceutical rose 20 yuan, 2880 yuan/ton; Shouguang Golden Corn rose by 20 yuan, 2874 yuan/ton; Binzhou Jin Hui rose 10 yuan, 2850 yuan/ton; Auspicious northeast rose to 20 yuan, 29 10 yuan/ton.

Five enterprises in the three northeastern provinces and one district rose, of which Longjiang Fu rose to 40 yuan, 2,590 yuan/ton; Zalantun Fufeng rose by 30 yuan, 2,570 yuan/ton; Heilongjiang Yipin, Cyclobalanopsis Longfeng, Kailu Wang Yu and other enterprises rose 10-20 yuan.

The corn market continues to rise. The market generally believes that: First, boosted by the rise in international food prices, some traders and purchasing companies are worried about the price increase in the later period of corn, and their willingness to purchase is enhanced, so they can only choose to raise prices and collect grain.

Second, due to health incidents, transportation is more difficult, and the local corn supply is unbalanced.

Third, the price of gasoline has risen rapidly. The local 92 # ethanol gasoline has reached 8. 10 yuan/liter. It is estimated that the price of industrial ethanol will also rise, which is good for corn.

But realistically speaking, the recent warmer weather and more rainy and snowy weather make it difficult for corn prices to rise sharply in the short term. It is expected that there will be another wave of market after April, but due to the abundant corn reserves in China, the target is expected to be around 1.50 yuan/kg.

Second, wheat fluctuates at a high level, and rice can't stand the pressure.

Speaking of wheat market, it is the absolute king in this year's grain market. From 1.20 yuan at harvest, it once rose to 1.70 yuan a catty. Instead of increasing, it decreased and remained strong, but it is still in shock recently, and the market is mixed.

On March 17, Dongming Wudeli rose by 40 yuan, 3220 yuan/ton; Shenzhou Wudeli rose to 20 yuan, 3,240 yuan/ton; Heze Huarui Noodle Industry rose by 80 yuan, 3,260 yuan/ton; Handan fell from Wudeli to 20 yuan along the wall, 3240 yuan/ton.

On the other hand, the rice market runs counter to the wheat market. It hasn't risen much since it was received last autumn. Even though the country announced the good news that the minimum purchase price was raised 1 another 2 cents, the rice price still did not improve under many favorable conditions.

The latest quotation shows that the average round grain in Hulin, Heilongjiang is 1.32 yuan/kg, the ex-factory price of rice in Dehui Rice Factory in Jilin is 1.35 yuan/kg (rice yield is 68% ~ 69%), and the mid-late indica rice in Henan is as low as 1.23 ~ 1.27 yuan/.

From the price point of view, compared with last year, the difference per catty is at least 1 dime.

Regarding the future trend of wheat and rice, I personally think that the current wheat price has reached a new high. Under the background of sufficient national reserves, even if the international wheat price continues to rise, it is unlikely that the domestic wheat will continue to rise.

The rice market is expected to rise steadily and far, which means that there is almost no possibility of rice continuing to fall this year as a whole, and the high probability is a slightly stronger trend. Under the background that a paddy field at the grass-roots level has turned into a dry field, and targeted sales have entered the feed market, and the prices of staple foods such as corn, wheat and soybeans are rising sharply, the rice market in 2023 may usher in an obvious rising period.

3. Is there a big market for peanuts?

Let's take a look at the current peanut market: Jilin Fuyu 308 currency meters 3.90-4.00 yuan/kg; Baisha rice in Jinzhou, Liaoning is 4.00 yuan/kg, Baisha rice in Junan, Shandong is 3.80-3.90 yuan/kg, Zhengyang rice in Henan is 3.95-4.00 yuan/kg, Nanyang rice is 3.95 yuan/kg, and Huatang oil rice in Luanxian, Hebei is 3.30-3.40 yuan/kg. Hua Wei coin rice in Zoucheng, Shandong Province: about 3.90 yuan/kg, and Haihua miscellaneous rice in Linyi, Shandong Province: 3.80 yuan/kg.

At present, the peanut market situation is not good, and the prices of chemical fertilizers, seeds, pesticides and other means of production are rising, so many farmers have little income, and some even lose money.

However, it has been reported recently that the price of peanuts may rise sharply during the year. I think everyone is concerned. Is that really the case?

Personally, I think it is still difficult for the peanut market to rise sharply, mainly because: First, the period from now to June is the traditional low season of peanut consumption, which is not good for the market.

Second, after the peanut harvest, the price is declining, and many farmers are reluctant to sell it. Now that the weather is warm and it is not easy to store, the selling pressure will increase.

Third, the import of peanuts is on the high side, increasing for three consecutive years, increasing the supply capacity of peanuts; At the same time, imported peanuts are facing the impact of low import tax cost, and the overall trend of peanuts is downward.

Judging from the market cycle, the price of peanuts is expected to recover next year, and the market is similar, mainly because: First, the prices of wheat, corn and soybeans continue to rise this year, and the peanut area will be affected.

Second, the price of peanuts has been bad for many years, and it is estimated that the inflection point of the rising cycle will be ushered in next year.

Thirdly, since 20021,the overall international food price has risen sharply, which also constitutes a substantial positive for peanut prices.

Dear friends, early warning of food price differentiation, March 17, corn skyrocketed, wheat was strong and rice was weak, and peanuts came to the market? what do you think? Everyone is welcome to express their views and give some suggestions to farmers.

# Corn price #