In June 5438+ 10, the inventory early warning index rose by 6.5%, and the automobile market was still unclear in February.

[? A billion euro guide? ]? China automobile dealers association said that the automobile consumption market in early 2020 is still unclear.

Ding is the only author.

Editor Zhang

On February 7th, china automobile dealers association held an online monthly situation analysis meeting, and released the automobile circulation data such as the inventory early warning index of automobile dealers in June 205438+2020, the automobile consumption index, and the national second-hand car trading in February 20 19.

In June 5438 +2020 10, the inventory early warning index of automobile dealers was 62.7%, up 6.3 percentage points from last month and 6.5 percentage points from the same period of last year, and the inventory early warning index was above the warning line. The automobile consumption index is 27.5, and the sales volume in February is expected to drop significantly compared with 65438+ 10.

China automobile dealers association said that due to the Spring Festival holiday, the automobile market entered the traditional off-season in June 5438+ 10. Affected by the peak of Spring Festival travel rush's return to the city, the passenger flow decreased and the market demand decreased. In addition, the marketing activities overdrawn the market in June 5438+February, most consumers went out to travel or visit relatives, some residents slowed down their car purchases after the holiday, and new car transactions further decreased. Although the COVID-19 epidemic broke out in late June of 5438+ 10, it is in the Spring Festival holiday, which is a vacuum period of automobile sales, and has limited impact on the overall automobile sales in 5438+ 10.

In addition, according to china automobile dealers association's analysis, the automobile consumption market in early 2020 is still unclear. In the long run, the epidemic will inevitably affect the macro-economy. In the short term, affected by the epidemic, the resumption of work in various regions will be postponed, enterprises and factories will stop production and shutdown, the per capita disposable income will drop, the demand for automobile consumption will be suppressed to a certain extent, and the production and sales of the automobile industry will also face greater pressure. In February 2020, the working days were reduced, dealers' business hours were postponed, consumers reduced outdoor activities, and the demand for car purchase was postponed.

In addition, china automobile dealers association suggested that dealers should give priority to blocking the spread of the epidemic during the epidemic period, increase online marketing efforts, and do a good job in disinfection of sales and service places and staff protection. In the service process, dealers should strictly implement the relevant epidemic prevention processes and norms to ensure the safety of consumers. At the same time, do a good job in fund management, control costs and reduce business risks.

Dealer inventory index rose year-on-year

On February 7, china automobile dealers association passed (Vehicle? Inventory? Alert? Index) shows that? In June 5438 +2020 10, the inventory early warning index of automobile dealers was 62.7%, up 6.3 percentage points from last month and 6.5 percentage points from the same period of last year, and the inventory early warning index was above the warning line.

In terms of sub-indices, the inventory index, market demand index, daily average sales index, employee index and business status index decreased in June 5438+ 10.

In terms of regional indexes, the national total index of 5438+ 10 was 62.7%, the northern index was 64.7%, the eastern index was 68.3%, the southern index was 54.9%, and the western index was 54.0%.

From the sub-brand type index, 65438+ 10 will be introduced in 2020 & Luxury brand index and mainstream joint venture brand index rose from last month, while independent brand index decreased from last month.

After the holiday, the rapid survey on the epidemic situation organized by china automobile dealers association showed that the epidemic situation had a great impact on the market in February because most provinces delayed the start of construction. Dealers generally believed that the sales volume in February decreased by more than 50% year-on-year, and the decline was more obvious than that in last month. If the start-up time of most provinces in February 10 is not delayed, it is estimated that the cumulative automobile sales in February 1 will drop by about 20% year-on-year.

China 20 19 second-hand car transaction volume 14922800.

From 2065438 to February 2009, the national second-hand car market traded 1686400 vehicles, an increase of 2 1.88% from the previous month, a record high. Among passenger cars, 9810.9 million basic passenger cars were traded, an increase of 23.29% from the previous month; SUV？ * * * clinched a deal 19.5 1 10,000 vehicles, up 23.43% month-on-month, MPV*** clinched a deal 105900 vehicles, up 19.67% month-on-month, and crossed passenger cars * * * clinched a deal of 45,000 vehicles, up/month-on-month. In terms of commercial vehicles, the number of buses138,400, an increase of18.62%; Truck137,300, up 19.63% from the previous month.

In terms of service life, in June 5438+February, the volume of used cars with service life of 3-6 years was the largest, accounting for 40.00%, an increase of 1.75 percentage points compared with June165438+1October; 22.57% of them have a service life of less than 3 years, down by 2.69 percentage points; 23.77% of the vehicles are 7- 10 years old, down by 0.7 percentage points; The vehicle age is over 10 year, accounting for 13.66%, an increase of 1.64 percentage points.

Judging from the transaction price, in June 5438+February, the vehicle market with the transaction price range of used cars below 30,000 yuan accounted for the largest proportion, accounting for 33. 12%, down 0.05% from the previous month; The second-hand car trading market in the price range of more than 300,000 yuan accounted for the smallest proportion, accounting for 2.49%, down 0.03% from the previous month; During the period of 65438+February, except for 50,000-80,000, 8-120,000,12-150,000,150,000-300,000, the trading volume of used cars in other price ranges decreased.

Judging from the regional distribution of transactions, the top five provinces in the average transaction price of second-hand passenger cars in June 5438+February were Beijing, Liaoning, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Guangdong. Among them, the average transaction price in Beijing is the highest, which is 6.5438+0.048 million yuan. The five provinces with the lowest average transaction price of second-hand passenger cars are Hunan, Sichuan, Ningxia, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia. Inner Mongolia is the lowest, with an average price of 20,800 yuan.

In 20 19, the cumulative transaction volume of used cars in China was1492.28 million, up by 7.96% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed down.

In 20 19, the cumulative transaction amount of used cars nationwide was 935.686 billion yuan, up 8.76% year-on-year.

In the whole year of 2065438+2009, the number of basic passenger cars was 8665438+4000, up by 4.77% year-on-year; Buses 1, 4 1, 360 vehicles, down 3.69% year-on-year; Truck1368,600, up1654.38+0.93% year-on-year; SUV？ 1480,800 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 30.40%; MPV？ 957,200 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 224,654.38+0%; There were 373,500 straddle-type passenger cars, a year-on-year increase of 20.09%. The growth rate of SUV, MPV and crossover passenger cars is obvious, with a year-on-year increase of more than 20%.

Judging from the age distribution of used cars, the number of used cars with a service life of 3-6 years is the largest in 20 19 years, accounting for 4 1. 18%. Followed by within 3 years, accounting for 24.79%? ; 7- 10 year accounts for 22.40%, 10 year accounts for1.63%.

In terms of emissions, in the fourth quarter of 20 19, the proportion of national four emissions of second-hand passenger cars was at most 50.29%, a decrease of 0. 15% from the previous month. The emissions from the fifth country accounted for 30.07%, up 0.86% from the previous month, and the emissions from the second country and the third country accounted for 5. 16% and 14.40% respectively, down 0.24% and 0.48% from the previous month. The proportion of national emissions was 0.09%, an increase of 0.0 1% from the previous month.

In 20 19, the sales of second-hand passenger cars were mainly based on the national four emission standards, accounting for an average of 50.80%. Followed by the national five emission standards, the average proportion is 28.34%, and the average proportion of vehicles with national three and national two emission standards is 15. 18% and 5.58% respectively. The proportion of vehicles emitted by the first country is only 0. 10%.

From the distribution of second-hand car sales cities in 20 19, first-tier cities accounted for 12.77%, down 0.56% from last year; Second-tier cities accounted for 4 1.98%, down 0.54% from last year; Third-tier cities accounted for 18.30%, down 0.0 1% compared with last year? ; Fourth-tier cities accounted for 16.39%, an increase of 0.07% over last year; Fifth-tier cities accounted for 10.57%, an increase of10.03% over last year. In 20 19, compared with last year, the proportion of second-hand car transactions in fourth-tier cities and fifth-tier cities increased slightly, while the proportion of first-and second-tier cities decreased.

Year-on-year distribution of used car prices: vehicles in the price range of 30,000 yuan or less decreased by 8.70%, vehicles in the range of 30,000-50,000 increased by 2.49%, vehicles in the range of 50,000-80,000 decreased by 0.35%, vehicles in the range of 8-12-65448 decreased significantly compared with the same period in history.

The automobile consumption index is low.

On February 7th, china automobile dealers association released the latest issue of "Automobile Consumption Index", which showed that the automobile consumption index in June 2020 was 27.5, and the sales volume in February was expected to drop significantly compared with that in June. In February, affected by the epidemic, various industries delayed their resumption of work, dealers shortened their working days, consumers reduced their outdoor activities, and the whole automobile market was relatively depressed.

Judging from the sub-indices that constitute the automobile consumption index, the demand sub-index of 1 in 2020 is 19.0, which is lower than last month. It is expected that consumer demand for cars will drop sharply in February.

In 2020, the classification index of 1 will be 19.9. It is expected that consumers' willingness to see cars will decrease in February.

In June 2020, the purchasing index of 5438+ 10 was 23.7, and it is expected that the actual purchasing intention of consumers will decline in February.

In 20 19 and 12, the sales volume of full-caliber passenger cars reached 2.472 million, up 34.0% from the previous month. In 20 19, the annual cumulative sales volume was 216.62 million, of which the total sales volume of imported high-end brands was 31420,000, and the sales volume of mainstream joint ventures and independent brands were 10968 and 7.552 million respectively. From the perspective of cities, second-and third-tier cities account for a relatively large proportion of sales, of which second-tier cities account for 28.5% at most, with a sales volume of 665,438+0.7 million vehicles; Sales in third-tier cities accounted for 26. 1%, with sales of 5.65 million vehicles.

In addition, at the meeting, china automobile dealers association also released the reports of China Automobile Consumer Word of Mouth Index and Automobile After-sales Service Word of Mouth Index in June 2020 (hereinafter referred to as the Report). China automobile consumer word-of-mouth index (ACMI) consists of several indexes, such as automobile sales service word-of-mouth index, automobile after-sales service word-of-mouth index and automobile financial consumption word-of-mouth index. From June 5438+ 10 in 2020, it will be published monthly.

According to the report, due to the epidemic situation and the Lunar New Year, the quality of automobile after-sales service in June 2020 was lower than that in February 2009. However, compared with 20 19 in the same period, the score was slightly improved.

Editor: Zhang

This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.